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2015/02/16
2015/02/15
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2015/02/10
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2014/05/29
Markets Forecast – Friday, May 30
Last day of the week will be very busy. Trading sessions will start with news form New Zealand, Japan and Australia. Japan, for example, will publish Household Spending, CPIs and Industrial Production numbers at 2:30 a.m.
European session will be slow again, but Canada will announce its GDP (monthly, quarterly and yearly) and RMPI – index that measures the change in price of raw materials purchased by manufacturers. CAD is one of the “raw” currencies and depends on the market movements a lot. A higher than expected reading of the index should be taken as positive/bullish trend for “loonie”.
United States will close the week with publication of Personal Spending, Chicago PMI and Michigan Consumer data (Consumer Expectations and Consumer Sentiment). News will be released right before the end of the weekly session (4:45 and 4:55 p.m.), so be careful and watch your deals on the volatile market.
2014/05/26
FORECAST - Tuesday, May 27
FORECAST - Tuesday, May 27
USA will catch up on Tuesday and release series of important news, including Core Durable Goods Orders and a Consumer Confidence Index.
The latter is a leading indicator as it can predict consumer spending, which plays a major role in overall economic activity.
Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism and should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Current forecast expects growth of the index from 82.3 to 83.0.
2014/05/07
FORECAST - Wednesday, May 7
Market will be volatile at 1:45 a.m. for the New Zealand dollar, when an unemployment level will be released.
JPY traders will pay attention to the Bank of Japan meeting minutes that will be published at 2:50 a.m.
Australian dollar will get volatile at 4:30 a.m., when retail sales numbers will be announced.
Euro will react to the publication of data about German factory orders and French statistics.
Jannet Yellen’s (the Chairman of FED) speech will become a key event of the day. It will start at 5 p.m., GMT+3.
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2014/05/06
Stock Markets Are Opening Trading Week Without Significant Changes
The new trading week started with a moderate growth of the main stock markets. As for the U.S, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere in April increased from 53,1, to 55,2, when, at the time, analysts predicted growth of only 54,1.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average index raised 0,11% to the level of 16530,55 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,19% and reached a level of 1884,66 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went into plus by 0,34% and reached a level of 4138,06 points.
The situation in Europe was not so optimistic, mainly influenced again by the conflict in Ukraine, which brings huge uncertainty to the markets. The French index, CAC 40, increased by 0,10%, the German DAX went to a minus by 0,30%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 0,30% and was closed on a level of 336,89 points.
The investor confidence index of Sentix of the Eurozone for May, made 12,8 points against average expectations of 14,2 points. Besides that, the price index of producers of the Eurozone in March decreased by 0,20%, which coincided with average forecasts.
The price of commodities remain stable without showing any significant movements. Brent and WTI are up by around 0,11% and are traded on prices of $107,23 and $98,84 per barrel. Gold adds 0,20%, traded on a level of $1311,94 per troy ounce. Silver is up 0,40%, bargaining next to the level of $19,65 per troy ounce.
The Asian markets were less active due to the celebration of a national holiday.
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average index raised 0,11% to the level of 16530,55 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,19% and reached a level of 1884,66 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went into plus by 0,34% and reached a level of 4138,06 points.
The situation in Europe was not so optimistic, mainly influenced again by the conflict in Ukraine, which brings huge uncertainty to the markets. The French index, CAC 40, increased by 0,10%, the German DAX went to a minus by 0,30%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 0,30% and was closed on a level of 336,89 points.
The investor confidence index of Sentix of the Eurozone for May, made 12,8 points against average expectations of 14,2 points. Besides that, the price index of producers of the Eurozone in March decreased by 0,20%, which coincided with average forecasts.
The price of commodities remain stable without showing any significant movements. Brent and WTI are up by around 0,11% and are traded on prices of $107,23 and $98,84 per barrel. Gold adds 0,20%, traded on a level of $1311,94 per troy ounce. Silver is up 0,40%, bargaining next to the level of $19,65 per troy ounce.
The Asian markets were less active due to the celebration of a national holiday.
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2014/05/05
Bears Feel More Confident In The Market
Stock markets closed the last trading week mainly in negative territory. European stock markets are still influenced with the geopolitical situation in Ukraine, and even positive statistics did not help indices to move up.
PMI indices of the members of the Eurozone showed positive dynamics, the index in the Eurozone, as a whole, increased from 53,3 points up to 53,4 points. In Switzerland, the index grew from the level of 54,4 points in March, to 55,8 points in April, but in Germany decreased from 54,2 points to 54,1 points. The unemployment rate appeared to be at the level of 11,8%, against the expected 11,9%.
As a result, the British FTSE 100 index increased by 0,20%, France's CAC 40 lost 0,70% and Germany's DAX went down by 0,50%. The regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 0,20% and closed the trading week on a level of 337,76 points.
Statistics in the U.S. also appeared to be rather encouraging, but did not give indices power for growth. According to published data, employment in the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased in April by 288 thousand, while analysts had expected the number to be on a level of only 210 thousand. Additionally, the unemployment rate declined from 6,7% in March, to 6.3% in April, which was better than market expectations of 6.6%.
Nevertheless, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost 0,28% and was closed on a level of 16512,89 points, the S&P 500 index was down 0,14%, reaching a level of 1881,14 points, and the index of the high-tech companies, Nasdaq, lost 0.09% and finished the trading session on a level of 4123,90 points.
This morning, the index of business activity in the industry from HSBC in China was released, which, in April, made 48,1 points and appeared to be lower than the predicted result of 48,4 points.
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PMI indices of the members of the Eurozone showed positive dynamics, the index in the Eurozone, as a whole, increased from 53,3 points up to 53,4 points. In Switzerland, the index grew from the level of 54,4 points in March, to 55,8 points in April, but in Germany decreased from 54,2 points to 54,1 points. The unemployment rate appeared to be at the level of 11,8%, against the expected 11,9%.
As a result, the British FTSE 100 index increased by 0,20%, France's CAC 40 lost 0,70% and Germany's DAX went down by 0,50%. The regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 0,20% and closed the trading week on a level of 337,76 points.
Statistics in the U.S. also appeared to be rather encouraging, but did not give indices power for growth. According to published data, employment in the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased in April by 288 thousand, while analysts had expected the number to be on a level of only 210 thousand. Additionally, the unemployment rate declined from 6,7% in March, to 6.3% in April, which was better than market expectations of 6.6%.
Nevertheless, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost 0,28% and was closed on a level of 16512,89 points, the S&P 500 index was down 0,14%, reaching a level of 1881,14 points, and the index of the high-tech companies, Nasdaq, lost 0.09% and finished the trading session on a level of 4123,90 points.
This morning, the index of business activity in the industry from HSBC in China was released, which, in April, made 48,1 points and appeared to be lower than the predicted result of 48,4 points.
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Bears Feel More Confident In The Market
2014/04/29
The Markets Look Forward To Decisions From The FED
Yesterday, important macroeconomic statistical reports were not published in the U.S., which resulted in no significant influence to the development throughout the trading session, and, as a result, indices closed the trading session with a moderate growth.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0,53% to the level of 16448,74 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, grew 0,32% to the level of 1869,43 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by just 0,03%, and reached the level of 4074,4 points.
Oil prices are moving in a positive direction, Brent adds 0,61% and is traded on a level of $108,77 per barrel, while WTI is up 0,54% and is bargaining at a price of $101,39 per barrel. Prices of precious metals are losing in value, gold and silver are down by 0,78% and 1,11% accordingly, traded on prices of $1288.89 per troy ounce for gold, and $19,37 for silver.
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0,53% to the level of 16448,74 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, grew 0,32% to the level of 1869,43 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by just 0,03%, and reached the level of 4074,4 points.
Oil prices are moving in a positive direction, Brent adds 0,61% and is traded on a level of $108,77 per barrel, while WTI is up 0,54% and is bargaining at a price of $101,39 per barrel. Prices of precious metals are losing in value, gold and silver are down by 0,78% and 1,11% accordingly, traded on prices of $1288.89 per troy ounce for gold, and $19,37 for silver.
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2014/04/28
Investors Are Waiting For FED Meeting This Week
The beginning of the week has again been influenced by the situation in Ukraine, where intensity continues to strengthen. During Friday’s telephone conference leaders of France, the USA, Germany and Italy, discussed the possibility of an introduction of new sanctions against Russia, thus heads of all four countries believe that the Russian Federation, according to the accepted arrangements, have to take action towards the de-escalation of the conflict, and refuse provocative statements. At the same time, the U.S. are easy going when it comes to the introduction of new sanctions, but European countries are not really willing to proceed with the same attitude, as they are going to become safer due to these actions, and are affected by the situation much more than the U.S.
On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index finished the trading session with a loss of 0,75% and was closed on a level of 16378,05 points, the index of the wide market, S&P 500, went to a minus by 0,76% and reached the level of 1864,33 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, fell by 1,68% to the level of 4078,79 points.
European indices also finished the trading week rather differently, but mainly in negative territory. The British FTSE 100 lost 0,26%, the French index, CAC 40, added 0,80%, and the German DAX went to a minus by 1,54%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased, in turn, by 0,80% and was closed on a level of 333,5 points. This morning, indices opened the trading week at almost the same levels they closed with on Friday. The FTSE 100 adds 0,26%, the DAX index adds 0,27% so far, and the CAC 40 grows by 0,19%.
Today, the economic calendar is rather empty, and there aren't any important macroeconomic reports expected, but special attention should be paid to the results of the meeting of the FED, results which we will be able to see on Wednesday the 30th of April, 2014. On Thursday, the majority of the stock markets will be closed in relation to the celebration of Labour Day.
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On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index finished the trading session with a loss of 0,75% and was closed on a level of 16378,05 points, the index of the wide market, S&P 500, went to a minus by 0,76% and reached the level of 1864,33 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, fell by 1,68% to the level of 4078,79 points.
European indices also finished the trading week rather differently, but mainly in negative territory. The British FTSE 100 lost 0,26%, the French index, CAC 40, added 0,80%, and the German DAX went to a minus by 1,54%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased, in turn, by 0,80% and was closed on a level of 333,5 points. This morning, indices opened the trading week at almost the same levels they closed with on Friday. The FTSE 100 adds 0,26%, the DAX index adds 0,27% so far, and the CAC 40 grows by 0,19%.
Today, the economic calendar is rather empty, and there aren't any important macroeconomic reports expected, but special attention should be paid to the results of the meeting of the FED, results which we will be able to see on Wednesday the 30th of April, 2014. On Thursday, the majority of the stock markets will be closed in relation to the celebration of Labour Day.
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2014/04/24
Forecast April 24
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish its decision on the interest rate at midnight. Experts think that it will grow from 2.75% to 3%.
Germany will publish a whole block of stats at 11 a.m.: business expectations, business climate by IFO and current assessment.
Retail sales statistics will be published in Britain at 11:30 a.m.
A number of orders for durables will be announced at 3:30 p.m.
Germany will publish a whole block of stats at 11 a.m.: business expectations, business climate by IFO and current assessment.
Retail sales statistics will be published in Britain at 11:30 a.m.
A number of orders for durables will be announced at 3:30 p.m.
2014/04/23
Results From The Largest American Companies Are Pushing Indices Up
Reports from the largest American companies who demonstrated good quarterly results, are pushing indices up. Due to this, optimism continues in the American stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index raised 0,4% to the level of 16514,37 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,41% to the level of 1879,55 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a plus on 0,97% and reached the level of 4161,46 points.
European stock markets also had a rather positive trading session. The British index, FTSE 100, grew by 0,85%, the French CAC 40 added 1,18%, and the German DAX went to a plus on 2,02%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 1,4% and was closed on the level of 337,03 points. This morning, indices are bargaining at the previous levels reached, and positive attitudes were also brought on by published macroeconomic data.
The index of business activity in the services sector of the Eurozone, according to the preliminary data, made 53,1 points in April, whilst analysts were only expecting an increase to the level of 52,4 points. The previous value was on the level of 52,2 points. The index of business activity in the industry sector of the Eurozone, according to the preliminary data, made 53,3 points in April, moving up from the level of 53,0 points, recorded last month. Analysts were expecting the level of 53,0 points only.
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European stock markets also had a rather positive trading session. The British index, FTSE 100, grew by 0,85%, the French CAC 40 added 1,18%, and the German DAX went to a plus on 2,02%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 1,4% and was closed on the level of 337,03 points. This morning, indices are bargaining at the previous levels reached, and positive attitudes were also brought on by published macroeconomic data.
The index of business activity in the services sector of the Eurozone, according to the preliminary data, made 53,1 points in April, whilst analysts were only expecting an increase to the level of 52,4 points. The previous value was on the level of 52,2 points. The index of business activity in the industry sector of the Eurozone, according to the preliminary data, made 53,3 points in April, moving up from the level of 53,0 points, recorded last month. Analysts were expecting the level of 53,0 points only.
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Forecast for April 23
The investors, who trade AUDUSD, should pay attention to the CPI publication at 4:30 a.m. (GMT+3). ‘Aussie’ will be volatile.
Right after that, traders will switch their attention to the publication of Manufacturing PMI by HSBC. Current index value is located at 48.0 points. When the PMI is below 50.0, it indicates that the manufacturing economy is declining, which leads to a decrease of demand for raw assets. If index appears to be worse than a forecast, it can weaken AUD’s positions.
USA, Germany and France will publish their Manufacturing PMIs during the day. Eurozone will do the same.
Traders interested in pound should pay attention to the publication of minutes from the last Bank of England’s meeting. Info should be published at 11:30 a.m. CBI Industrial Trends Orders will be published at 1 p.m.
New Housing Sales will be announced in the USA by the end of the day.
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Right after that, traders will switch their attention to the publication of Manufacturing PMI by HSBC. Current index value is located at 48.0 points. When the PMI is below 50.0, it indicates that the manufacturing economy is declining, which leads to a decrease of demand for raw assets. If index appears to be worse than a forecast, it can weaken AUD’s positions.
USA, Germany and France will publish their Manufacturing PMIs during the day. Eurozone will do the same.
Traders interested in pound should pay attention to the publication of minutes from the last Bank of England’s meeting. Info should be published at 11:30 a.m. CBI Industrial Trends Orders will be published at 1 p.m.
New Housing Sales will be announced in the USA by the end of the day.
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2014/04/18
Meeting In Geneva Brought Positive Results
Yesterday, what was deemed as the most important event of the day, brought positive and optimistic results. Negotiations went on for 7 hours when only a 2,5 hour meeting was planned. The involved parties came to an agreement an signed the Geneva statement of April the 17th, in which it was declared there was a need to accept the initial, concrete steps on the de-escalation of intensity, and establish safety for all citizens of Ukraine. In the signed document, all the members of the meeting accepted the fact that it is necessary to disarm all illegal paramilitary groups, to return occupied buildings to their legitimate owners, and to free all of the seized squares and streets across the entire Ukraine.
Even though the results of the meeting in Geneva were considered to be very optimistic, the situation in the country remains tentative and there is still a long way to go until the conflict is resolved.
The Ministry of Labor of the U.S. presented data on the American labor market. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits grew for the week by only 2 thousand, to the level of 304 thousand, whilst analysts were expecting an increase of up to 315 thousand. The average amount of applications for the last 4 weeks, as a result, fell to 312 000, having reached the lowest value since October 2007. Additionally, the index of business activity in the manufacturing industry of the FED of Philadelphia, grew in April to 16,6 points against the forecast of 10,0 points.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost just 0,1% and finished the trading session at the level of 16408,54 points. In turn, the Nasdaq Composite index grew by 0,23% to the level of 4095,52 points, and the S&P 500 added 0,14% and reached a level of 1864,85 points.
European stock markets were also boosted by positive statistics from the U.S. and decisions taken in relation to Ukraine. From the statistics in the region, it is possible to note the dynamics of the price index of producers of Germany for March, which decreased by 0,3% on a monthly expression, and 0,9% on an yearly expression, whereas analysts predicted zero change in the monthly calculation and a decrease of 0,7% based over a year.
Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 added 0,62%, the French CAC 40 grew by 0,59%, and the German DAX went to plus on 0,99%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 0,5% and was closed on the level of 332,43 points.
Today, activity in the market is going to be lower than usual in connection with the day off in Europe, the USA, Australia, and Hong Kong.
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Even though the results of the meeting in Geneva were considered to be very optimistic, the situation in the country remains tentative and there is still a long way to go until the conflict is resolved.
The Ministry of Labor of the U.S. presented data on the American labor market. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits grew for the week by only 2 thousand, to the level of 304 thousand, whilst analysts were expecting an increase of up to 315 thousand. The average amount of applications for the last 4 weeks, as a result, fell to 312 000, having reached the lowest value since October 2007. Additionally, the index of business activity in the manufacturing industry of the FED of Philadelphia, grew in April to 16,6 points against the forecast of 10,0 points.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost just 0,1% and finished the trading session at the level of 16408,54 points. In turn, the Nasdaq Composite index grew by 0,23% to the level of 4095,52 points, and the S&P 500 added 0,14% and reached a level of 1864,85 points.
European stock markets were also boosted by positive statistics from the U.S. and decisions taken in relation to Ukraine. From the statistics in the region, it is possible to note the dynamics of the price index of producers of Germany for March, which decreased by 0,3% on a monthly expression, and 0,9% on an yearly expression, whereas analysts predicted zero change in the monthly calculation and a decrease of 0,7% based over a year.
Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 added 0,62%, the French CAC 40 grew by 0,59%, and the German DAX went to plus on 0,99%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 0,5% and was closed on the level of 332,43 points.
Today, activity in the market is going to be lower than usual in connection with the day off in Europe, the USA, Australia, and Hong Kong.
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2014/04/17
The Conflict Concerning Ukraine Is Again Under The Spotlight
Yesterday, stock markets managed to have another positive trading session, which gave indices ground for an increase, even though the published macroeconomic statistical data was not really positive. Building permits dropped from the level of last month to 0,990 million and appeared to be lower than predictions of 1,008 million. The Capacity Utilization Rate, in turn, showed an increase, when analytics expected a decrease, and it finally made 79,2%. Industrial Production dropped from the level of last month, but appeared to be better than predictions making 0,7%.
Also, a positive attitude was brought to the markets by the speech from the head of the FED. During the speech in the economic club of New York, Janet Yellen declared that the FED intends to carry out monetary support for a rather long period of time, in order to promote a smooth economic recovery.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index grew by 1% to the level of 16424, 85 points, the S&P 500 added 1,05% and reached a level of 1862,31 points, and the Nasdaq Composite increased by 1,29% and is now traded on the level of 4086,22 points.
Attention should also be paid to the growth of prices of oil. The difficult, semi-military situation around the conflict between Ukraine and Russia pushed prices of oil to go up. Kiev accuses Moscow of attempts of destabilization of the internal political processes in the country. In turn, NATO declared their intention to strengthen the military presence in Eastern Europe. As a result of all these speculations, the price of Brent flew up on Wednesday to $110,00 per barrel, traded this morning on the level of $109,77 per barrel, and adding 0,16%. WTI reached yesterday's price of $105,00 per barrel, traded this morning on the price of $103,20 per barrel, and is currently adding 0,17%.
Prices of precious metals are, in turn, losing in value. Gold is falling by 0,38% and is traded on the level of $1298,61 per troy ounce, silver is down 0,45%, and bargaining at the level of $19,55 per troy ounce.
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Also, a positive attitude was brought to the markets by the speech from the head of the FED. During the speech in the economic club of New York, Janet Yellen declared that the FED intends to carry out monetary support for a rather long period of time, in order to promote a smooth economic recovery.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index grew by 1% to the level of 16424, 85 points, the S&P 500 added 1,05% and reached a level of 1862,31 points, and the Nasdaq Composite increased by 1,29% and is now traded on the level of 4086,22 points.
Attention should also be paid to the growth of prices of oil. The difficult, semi-military situation around the conflict between Ukraine and Russia pushed prices of oil to go up. Kiev accuses Moscow of attempts of destabilization of the internal political processes in the country. In turn, NATO declared their intention to strengthen the military presence in Eastern Europe. As a result of all these speculations, the price of Brent flew up on Wednesday to $110,00 per barrel, traded this morning on the level of $109,77 per barrel, and adding 0,16%. WTI reached yesterday's price of $105,00 per barrel, traded this morning on the price of $103,20 per barrel, and is currently adding 0,17%.
Prices of precious metals are, in turn, losing in value. Gold is falling by 0,38% and is traded on the level of $1298,61 per troy ounce, silver is down 0,45%, and bargaining at the level of $19,55 per troy ounce.
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2014/04/14
Negative Moods Prevail In The Markets
Friday's trading session continued the correction which began on Thursday, and indices closed the trading week mainly in the red zone. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0,89% and was closed on the level of 16026,75 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0,95% to the level of 1815,69 points, and Nasdaq Composite lost 0,34%, falling to the level of 3999,73 points.
The question in relation to the current situation in Ukraine is again under investors attention, and is resulting in nervousness on the markets. Over the weekend, the situation did not change and the present authorities of the country are ready to perform a full-scale military operation on the suppression of the restless regions in the southeast of the country. A special session of the UN Security Council, called at the initiative of the Russian Federation, did not bring any positive results as the participants could not come to an agreement.
As a result, prices of oil are continuing to grow this morning, adding 0,85% on Brent, and 0,81% on WTI, traded on $108,31 and $103,45 per barrel accordingly. Precious metals are also traded positively, gold adds 0,59% traded on a level of $1326,74 per troy ounce, and silver is growing by 0,54% bargaining next to the level of $20,05 per troy ounce.
One more interesting event which occurred over the weekend was the meeting of the head of the ECB, Mario Draghi, and governing bodies of the IMF and WB, which took place on Saturday. The main subject that was discussed was the risk of a deflation in the EU, mainly due to the growth of the exchange rate of the Euro. It was declared that in order to decrease that, changes in monetary policy of the regulator will be required.
Thus, verbal interventions which are urged to contain the Euro's growth still continue, but, of course, if the currency pair will reach the level of 1,40, a decrease in interest rates in the region will be inevitable. As a result of this information, the EUR/USD currency pair has opened the trading week with a gap down, and at this moment is traded on the level of 1,3851.
***
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The question in relation to the current situation in Ukraine is again under investors attention, and is resulting in nervousness on the markets. Over the weekend, the situation did not change and the present authorities of the country are ready to perform a full-scale military operation on the suppression of the restless regions in the southeast of the country. A special session of the UN Security Council, called at the initiative of the Russian Federation, did not bring any positive results as the participants could not come to an agreement.
As a result, prices of oil are continuing to grow this morning, adding 0,85% on Brent, and 0,81% on WTI, traded on $108,31 and $103,45 per barrel accordingly. Precious metals are also traded positively, gold adds 0,59% traded on a level of $1326,74 per troy ounce, and silver is growing by 0,54% bargaining next to the level of $20,05 per troy ounce.
One more interesting event which occurred over the weekend was the meeting of the head of the ECB, Mario Draghi, and governing bodies of the IMF and WB, which took place on Saturday. The main subject that was discussed was the risk of a deflation in the EU, mainly due to the growth of the exchange rate of the Euro. It was declared that in order to decrease that, changes in monetary policy of the regulator will be required.
Thus, verbal interventions which are urged to contain the Euro's growth still continue, but, of course, if the currency pair will reach the level of 1,40, a decrease in interest rates in the region will be inevitable. As a result of this information, the EUR/USD currency pair has opened the trading week with a gap down, and at this moment is traded on the level of 1,3851.
***
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2014/04/11
The Stock Market Of The U.S. Outlined The Correction
There is an impression that the markets are moving up and down, without having the opportunity to decide on a further direction. One day, indices are growing, another day, they are decreasing, thereby leveling all growth of the previous sessions.
Yesterday, the European indices finished the trading day in different directions. At the beginning of the trading session, investors won due to positive news from the USA. After that, some of the indices began to fall, due to the fact that there was not a lot of macroeconomic statistical data published. As a result, the index of the London stock exchange, the FTSE 100, grew by 0,1%, the index of the Parisian stock exchange, the CAC 40, lost 0,66%, and the index of the Frankfurt stock exchange, DAX, decreased by 0,55%.
A pessimistic mood began in Europe and was followed by American indices. We saw a substantial increase in the price of indices on Wednesday, but it seems that after that, stock markets decided to have a correction. A push factor was the statistical data on export and import in China, which appeared to be extremely lower than the predictions of analysts. Import of the country made a number of minus 11,3%, at an expected growth of 2,4%. Export appeared to be minus 6,6% at the expected 4,0%.
However, the statistical data coming from the U.S. was of a positive character, but indices could not find strength to move up. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits in a week, appeared to be slightly less than expectations on 320 thousand, and made a number of 300 thousand. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index fell by 1,62% to the level of 16170,22 points, the S&P 500 lost 2,09% and reached a level of 1833,08 points, and the Nasdaq Composite had the biggest loss of the day and decreased by 3,1% to the level of 4054,11 points.
Prices of commodities are stable. Brent and WTI are losing 0,26% and 0,30%, traded on levels of $107,24 and $102,07 per barrel. Gold is flat, traded on a price of $1320,86 per troy ounce. Silver is down by 0,24% at $20,04 per troy ounce.
***
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Yesterday, the European indices finished the trading day in different directions. At the beginning of the trading session, investors won due to positive news from the USA. After that, some of the indices began to fall, due to the fact that there was not a lot of macroeconomic statistical data published. As a result, the index of the London stock exchange, the FTSE 100, grew by 0,1%, the index of the Parisian stock exchange, the CAC 40, lost 0,66%, and the index of the Frankfurt stock exchange, DAX, decreased by 0,55%.
A pessimistic mood began in Europe and was followed by American indices. We saw a substantial increase in the price of indices on Wednesday, but it seems that after that, stock markets decided to have a correction. A push factor was the statistical data on export and import in China, which appeared to be extremely lower than the predictions of analysts. Import of the country made a number of minus 11,3%, at an expected growth of 2,4%. Export appeared to be minus 6,6% at the expected 4,0%.
However, the statistical data coming from the U.S. was of a positive character, but indices could not find strength to move up. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits in a week, appeared to be slightly less than expectations on 320 thousand, and made a number of 300 thousand. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index fell by 1,62% to the level of 16170,22 points, the S&P 500 lost 2,09% and reached a level of 1833,08 points, and the Nasdaq Composite had the biggest loss of the day and decreased by 3,1% to the level of 4054,11 points.
Prices of commodities are stable. Brent and WTI are losing 0,26% and 0,30%, traded on levels of $107,24 and $102,07 per barrel. Gold is flat, traded on a price of $1320,86 per troy ounce. Silver is down by 0,24% at $20,04 per troy ounce.
***
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2014/04/08
Markets Underwent Massive Sales
On Monday, the American stock market had another losing trading session, and closed with a substantial fall in the major indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1,02% to the level of 16245,87 points, Standard & Poor's 500 lost 1,08% and was closed on the level of 1845,04 points, and the index of high-tech companies, Nasdaq Composite, was down by 1,16% and reached the level of 4079,75 points.
For a long time now, analysts have been discussing the correction in the American stock market. This time, the push factor could be the upcoming reporting season, which will start in America at the end of this week. According to predictions and different estimates, reporting for the first quarter will be weaker than for the last, and in general the reporting season will be the weakest in the past two years.
The point is that we have witnessed for more than one quarter, a fall in revenue growth of the companies, but U.S. indices have continued to show growth and are updating annual and historical highs. Now, it is clearly visible that the discrepancy among the yield growth of the companies and the dynamics of the growth of the stock market indices, have reached unrealistically large quantities. So, in general, the correction in the American stock market is obviously required, because to inflate the bubble continuously is impossible.
The European trading session was also very disappointing and indices finished the day in the red zone. The British index, FTSE 100, lost 1,1%, France's CAC 40 decreased by 1,1% and Germany's DAX went down by 1,9%. The Regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 1,2% and was closed on the level of 334,96 points. Today’s trading session is also going towards the negative territory - DAX is losing 0,73%, FTSE 100 is decreasing by 0,72% and CAC 40 is falling for 0,60% currently.
Prices of commodities are recovering slightly from the levels reached yesterday, Brent and WTI are increasing by 0,47% and 0,67% and are traded on prices of $106,31 and $100,45 per barrel. Gold and silver are up by 1,04% and 0,90%, traded on prices of $1311,83 and $20,09 perr troy ounce.
***
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For a long time now, analysts have been discussing the correction in the American stock market. This time, the push factor could be the upcoming reporting season, which will start in America at the end of this week. According to predictions and different estimates, reporting for the first quarter will be weaker than for the last, and in general the reporting season will be the weakest in the past two years.
The point is that we have witnessed for more than one quarter, a fall in revenue growth of the companies, but U.S. indices have continued to show growth and are updating annual and historical highs. Now, it is clearly visible that the discrepancy among the yield growth of the companies and the dynamics of the growth of the stock market indices, have reached unrealistically large quantities. So, in general, the correction in the American stock market is obviously required, because to inflate the bubble continuously is impossible.
The European trading session was also very disappointing and indices finished the day in the red zone. The British index, FTSE 100, lost 1,1%, France's CAC 40 decreased by 1,1% and Germany's DAX went down by 1,9%. The Regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 1,2% and was closed on the level of 334,96 points. Today’s trading session is also going towards the negative territory - DAX is losing 0,73%, FTSE 100 is decreasing by 0,72% and CAC 40 is falling for 0,60% currently.
Prices of commodities are recovering slightly from the levels reached yesterday, Brent and WTI are increasing by 0,47% and 0,67% and are traded on prices of $106,31 and $100,45 per barrel. Gold and silver are up by 1,04% and 0,90%, traded on prices of $1311,83 and $20,09 perr troy ounce.
***
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Join to “Forex Prize Rebates” here
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