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2014/05/29
Markets Forecast – Friday, May 30
Last day of the week will be very busy. Trading sessions will start with news form New Zealand, Japan and Australia. Japan, for example, will publish Household Spending, CPIs and Industrial Production numbers at 2:30 a.m.
European session will be slow again, but Canada will announce its GDP (monthly, quarterly and yearly) and RMPI – index that measures the change in price of raw materials purchased by manufacturers. CAD is one of the “raw” currencies and depends on the market movements a lot. A higher than expected reading of the index should be taken as positive/bullish trend for “loonie”.
United States will close the week with publication of Personal Spending, Chicago PMI and Michigan Consumer data (Consumer Expectations and Consumer Sentiment). News will be released right before the end of the weekly session (4:45 and 4:55 p.m.), so be careful and watch your deals on the volatile market.
2014/05/26
FORECAST - Tuesday, May 27
FORECAST - Tuesday, May 27
USA will catch up on Tuesday and release series of important news, including Core Durable Goods Orders and a Consumer Confidence Index.
The latter is a leading indicator as it can predict consumer spending, which plays a major role in overall economic activity.
Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism and should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Current forecast expects growth of the index from 82.3 to 83.0.
2014/05/07
FORECAST - Wednesday, May 7
Market will be volatile at 1:45 a.m. for the New Zealand dollar, when an unemployment level will be released.
JPY traders will pay attention to the Bank of Japan meeting minutes that will be published at 2:50 a.m.
Australian dollar will get volatile at 4:30 a.m., when retail sales numbers will be announced.
Euro will react to the publication of data about German factory orders and French statistics.
Jannet Yellen’s (the Chairman of FED) speech will become a key event of the day. It will start at 5 p.m., GMT+3.
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2014/05/06
Stock Markets Are Opening Trading Week Without Significant Changes
The new trading week started with a moderate growth of the main stock markets. As for the U.S, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere in April increased from 53,1, to 55,2, when, at the time, analysts predicted growth of only 54,1.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average index raised 0,11% to the level of 16530,55 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,19% and reached a level of 1884,66 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went into plus by 0,34% and reached a level of 4138,06 points.
The situation in Europe was not so optimistic, mainly influenced again by the conflict in Ukraine, which brings huge uncertainty to the markets. The French index, CAC 40, increased by 0,10%, the German DAX went to a minus by 0,30%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 0,30% and was closed on a level of 336,89 points.
The investor confidence index of Sentix of the Eurozone for May, made 12,8 points against average expectations of 14,2 points. Besides that, the price index of producers of the Eurozone in March decreased by 0,20%, which coincided with average forecasts.
The price of commodities remain stable without showing any significant movements. Brent and WTI are up by around 0,11% and are traded on prices of $107,23 and $98,84 per barrel. Gold adds 0,20%, traded on a level of $1311,94 per troy ounce. Silver is up 0,40%, bargaining next to the level of $19,65 per troy ounce.
The Asian markets were less active due to the celebration of a national holiday.
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average index raised 0,11% to the level of 16530,55 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,19% and reached a level of 1884,66 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went into plus by 0,34% and reached a level of 4138,06 points.
The situation in Europe was not so optimistic, mainly influenced again by the conflict in Ukraine, which brings huge uncertainty to the markets. The French index, CAC 40, increased by 0,10%, the German DAX went to a minus by 0,30%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 0,30% and was closed on a level of 336,89 points.
The investor confidence index of Sentix of the Eurozone for May, made 12,8 points against average expectations of 14,2 points. Besides that, the price index of producers of the Eurozone in March decreased by 0,20%, which coincided with average forecasts.
The price of commodities remain stable without showing any significant movements. Brent and WTI are up by around 0,11% and are traded on prices of $107,23 and $98,84 per barrel. Gold adds 0,20%, traded on a level of $1311,94 per troy ounce. Silver is up 0,40%, bargaining next to the level of $19,65 per troy ounce.
The Asian markets were less active due to the celebration of a national holiday.
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2014/05/05
Bears Feel More Confident In The Market
Stock markets closed the last trading week mainly in negative territory. European stock markets are still influenced with the geopolitical situation in Ukraine, and even positive statistics did not help indices to move up.
PMI indices of the members of the Eurozone showed positive dynamics, the index in the Eurozone, as a whole, increased from 53,3 points up to 53,4 points. In Switzerland, the index grew from the level of 54,4 points in March, to 55,8 points in April, but in Germany decreased from 54,2 points to 54,1 points. The unemployment rate appeared to be at the level of 11,8%, against the expected 11,9%.
As a result, the British FTSE 100 index increased by 0,20%, France's CAC 40 lost 0,70% and Germany's DAX went down by 0,50%. The regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 0,20% and closed the trading week on a level of 337,76 points.
Statistics in the U.S. also appeared to be rather encouraging, but did not give indices power for growth. According to published data, employment in the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased in April by 288 thousand, while analysts had expected the number to be on a level of only 210 thousand. Additionally, the unemployment rate declined from 6,7% in March, to 6.3% in April, which was better than market expectations of 6.6%.
Nevertheless, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost 0,28% and was closed on a level of 16512,89 points, the S&P 500 index was down 0,14%, reaching a level of 1881,14 points, and the index of the high-tech companies, Nasdaq, lost 0.09% and finished the trading session on a level of 4123,90 points.
This morning, the index of business activity in the industry from HSBC in China was released, which, in April, made 48,1 points and appeared to be lower than the predicted result of 48,4 points.
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PMI indices of the members of the Eurozone showed positive dynamics, the index in the Eurozone, as a whole, increased from 53,3 points up to 53,4 points. In Switzerland, the index grew from the level of 54,4 points in March, to 55,8 points in April, but in Germany decreased from 54,2 points to 54,1 points. The unemployment rate appeared to be at the level of 11,8%, against the expected 11,9%.
As a result, the British FTSE 100 index increased by 0,20%, France's CAC 40 lost 0,70% and Germany's DAX went down by 0,50%. The regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 0,20% and closed the trading week on a level of 337,76 points.
Statistics in the U.S. also appeared to be rather encouraging, but did not give indices power for growth. According to published data, employment in the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased in April by 288 thousand, while analysts had expected the number to be on a level of only 210 thousand. Additionally, the unemployment rate declined from 6,7% in March, to 6.3% in April, which was better than market expectations of 6.6%.
Nevertheless, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost 0,28% and was closed on a level of 16512,89 points, the S&P 500 index was down 0,14%, reaching a level of 1881,14 points, and the index of the high-tech companies, Nasdaq, lost 0.09% and finished the trading session on a level of 4123,90 points.
This morning, the index of business activity in the industry from HSBC in China was released, which, in April, made 48,1 points and appeared to be lower than the predicted result of 48,4 points.
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Bears Feel More Confident In The Market
2014/04/29
The Markets Look Forward To Decisions From The FED
Yesterday, important macroeconomic statistical reports were not published in the U.S., which resulted in no significant influence to the development throughout the trading session, and, as a result, indices closed the trading session with a moderate growth.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0,53% to the level of 16448,74 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, grew 0,32% to the level of 1869,43 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by just 0,03%, and reached the level of 4074,4 points.
Oil prices are moving in a positive direction, Brent adds 0,61% and is traded on a level of $108,77 per barrel, while WTI is up 0,54% and is bargaining at a price of $101,39 per barrel. Prices of precious metals are losing in value, gold and silver are down by 0,78% and 1,11% accordingly, traded on prices of $1288.89 per troy ounce for gold, and $19,37 for silver.
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0,53% to the level of 16448,74 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, grew 0,32% to the level of 1869,43 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by just 0,03%, and reached the level of 4074,4 points.
Oil prices are moving in a positive direction, Brent adds 0,61% and is traded on a level of $108,77 per barrel, while WTI is up 0,54% and is bargaining at a price of $101,39 per barrel. Prices of precious metals are losing in value, gold and silver are down by 0,78% and 1,11% accordingly, traded on prices of $1288.89 per troy ounce for gold, and $19,37 for silver.
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2014/04/28
Investors Are Waiting For FED Meeting This Week
The beginning of the week has again been influenced by the situation in Ukraine, where intensity continues to strengthen. During Friday’s telephone conference leaders of France, the USA, Germany and Italy, discussed the possibility of an introduction of new sanctions against Russia, thus heads of all four countries believe that the Russian Federation, according to the accepted arrangements, have to take action towards the de-escalation of the conflict, and refuse provocative statements. At the same time, the U.S. are easy going when it comes to the introduction of new sanctions, but European countries are not really willing to proceed with the same attitude, as they are going to become safer due to these actions, and are affected by the situation much more than the U.S.
On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index finished the trading session with a loss of 0,75% and was closed on a level of 16378,05 points, the index of the wide market, S&P 500, went to a minus by 0,76% and reached the level of 1864,33 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, fell by 1,68% to the level of 4078,79 points.
European indices also finished the trading week rather differently, but mainly in negative territory. The British FTSE 100 lost 0,26%, the French index, CAC 40, added 0,80%, and the German DAX went to a minus by 1,54%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased, in turn, by 0,80% and was closed on a level of 333,5 points. This morning, indices opened the trading week at almost the same levels they closed with on Friday. The FTSE 100 adds 0,26%, the DAX index adds 0,27% so far, and the CAC 40 grows by 0,19%.
Today, the economic calendar is rather empty, and there aren't any important macroeconomic reports expected, but special attention should be paid to the results of the meeting of the FED, results which we will be able to see on Wednesday the 30th of April, 2014. On Thursday, the majority of the stock markets will be closed in relation to the celebration of Labour Day.
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On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index finished the trading session with a loss of 0,75% and was closed on a level of 16378,05 points, the index of the wide market, S&P 500, went to a minus by 0,76% and reached the level of 1864,33 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, fell by 1,68% to the level of 4078,79 points.
European indices also finished the trading week rather differently, but mainly in negative territory. The British FTSE 100 lost 0,26%, the French index, CAC 40, added 0,80%, and the German DAX went to a minus by 1,54%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased, in turn, by 0,80% and was closed on a level of 333,5 points. This morning, indices opened the trading week at almost the same levels they closed with on Friday. The FTSE 100 adds 0,26%, the DAX index adds 0,27% so far, and the CAC 40 grows by 0,19%.
Today, the economic calendar is rather empty, and there aren't any important macroeconomic reports expected, but special attention should be paid to the results of the meeting of the FED, results which we will be able to see on Wednesday the 30th of April, 2014. On Thursday, the majority of the stock markets will be closed in relation to the celebration of Labour Day.
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2014/04/24
Forecast April 24
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish its decision on the interest rate at midnight. Experts think that it will grow from 2.75% to 3%.
Germany will publish a whole block of stats at 11 a.m.: business expectations, business climate by IFO and current assessment.
Retail sales statistics will be published in Britain at 11:30 a.m.
A number of orders for durables will be announced at 3:30 p.m.
Germany will publish a whole block of stats at 11 a.m.: business expectations, business climate by IFO and current assessment.
Retail sales statistics will be published in Britain at 11:30 a.m.
A number of orders for durables will be announced at 3:30 p.m.
2014/04/23
Results From The Largest American Companies Are Pushing Indices Up
Reports from the largest American companies who demonstrated good quarterly results, are pushing indices up. Due to this, optimism continues in the American stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index raised 0,4% to the level of 16514,37 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,41% to the level of 1879,55 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a plus on 0,97% and reached the level of 4161,46 points.
European stock markets also had a rather positive trading session. The British index, FTSE 100, grew by 0,85%, the French CAC 40 added 1,18%, and the German DAX went to a plus on 2,02%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 1,4% and was closed on the level of 337,03 points. This morning, indices are bargaining at the previous levels reached, and positive attitudes were also brought on by published macroeconomic data.
The index of business activity in the services sector of the Eurozone, according to the preliminary data, made 53,1 points in April, whilst analysts were only expecting an increase to the level of 52,4 points. The previous value was on the level of 52,2 points. The index of business activity in the industry sector of the Eurozone, according to the preliminary data, made 53,3 points in April, moving up from the level of 53,0 points, recorded last month. Analysts were expecting the level of 53,0 points only.
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European stock markets also had a rather positive trading session. The British index, FTSE 100, grew by 0,85%, the French CAC 40 added 1,18%, and the German DAX went to a plus on 2,02%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 1,4% and was closed on the level of 337,03 points. This morning, indices are bargaining at the previous levels reached, and positive attitudes were also brought on by published macroeconomic data.
The index of business activity in the services sector of the Eurozone, according to the preliminary data, made 53,1 points in April, whilst analysts were only expecting an increase to the level of 52,4 points. The previous value was on the level of 52,2 points. The index of business activity in the industry sector of the Eurozone, according to the preliminary data, made 53,3 points in April, moving up from the level of 53,0 points, recorded last month. Analysts were expecting the level of 53,0 points only.
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Forecast for April 23
The investors, who trade AUDUSD, should pay attention to the CPI publication at 4:30 a.m. (GMT+3). ‘Aussie’ will be volatile.
Right after that, traders will switch their attention to the publication of Manufacturing PMI by HSBC. Current index value is located at 48.0 points. When the PMI is below 50.0, it indicates that the manufacturing economy is declining, which leads to a decrease of demand for raw assets. If index appears to be worse than a forecast, it can weaken AUD’s positions.
USA, Germany and France will publish their Manufacturing PMIs during the day. Eurozone will do the same.
Traders interested in pound should pay attention to the publication of minutes from the last Bank of England’s meeting. Info should be published at 11:30 a.m. CBI Industrial Trends Orders will be published at 1 p.m.
New Housing Sales will be announced in the USA by the end of the day.
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Right after that, traders will switch their attention to the publication of Manufacturing PMI by HSBC. Current index value is located at 48.0 points. When the PMI is below 50.0, it indicates that the manufacturing economy is declining, which leads to a decrease of demand for raw assets. If index appears to be worse than a forecast, it can weaken AUD’s positions.
USA, Germany and France will publish their Manufacturing PMIs during the day. Eurozone will do the same.
Traders interested in pound should pay attention to the publication of minutes from the last Bank of England’s meeting. Info should be published at 11:30 a.m. CBI Industrial Trends Orders will be published at 1 p.m.
New Housing Sales will be announced in the USA by the end of the day.
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2014/04/18
Meeting In Geneva Brought Positive Results
Yesterday, what was deemed as the most important event of the day, brought positive and optimistic results. Negotiations went on for 7 hours when only a 2,5 hour meeting was planned. The involved parties came to an agreement an signed the Geneva statement of April the 17th, in which it was declared there was a need to accept the initial, concrete steps on the de-escalation of intensity, and establish safety for all citizens of Ukraine. In the signed document, all the members of the meeting accepted the fact that it is necessary to disarm all illegal paramilitary groups, to return occupied buildings to their legitimate owners, and to free all of the seized squares and streets across the entire Ukraine.
Even though the results of the meeting in Geneva were considered to be very optimistic, the situation in the country remains tentative and there is still a long way to go until the conflict is resolved.
The Ministry of Labor of the U.S. presented data on the American labor market. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits grew for the week by only 2 thousand, to the level of 304 thousand, whilst analysts were expecting an increase of up to 315 thousand. The average amount of applications for the last 4 weeks, as a result, fell to 312 000, having reached the lowest value since October 2007. Additionally, the index of business activity in the manufacturing industry of the FED of Philadelphia, grew in April to 16,6 points against the forecast of 10,0 points.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost just 0,1% and finished the trading session at the level of 16408,54 points. In turn, the Nasdaq Composite index grew by 0,23% to the level of 4095,52 points, and the S&P 500 added 0,14% and reached a level of 1864,85 points.
European stock markets were also boosted by positive statistics from the U.S. and decisions taken in relation to Ukraine. From the statistics in the region, it is possible to note the dynamics of the price index of producers of Germany for March, which decreased by 0,3% on a monthly expression, and 0,9% on an yearly expression, whereas analysts predicted zero change in the monthly calculation and a decrease of 0,7% based over a year.
Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 added 0,62%, the French CAC 40 grew by 0,59%, and the German DAX went to plus on 0,99%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 0,5% and was closed on the level of 332,43 points.
Today, activity in the market is going to be lower than usual in connection with the day off in Europe, the USA, Australia, and Hong Kong.
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Even though the results of the meeting in Geneva were considered to be very optimistic, the situation in the country remains tentative and there is still a long way to go until the conflict is resolved.
The Ministry of Labor of the U.S. presented data on the American labor market. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits grew for the week by only 2 thousand, to the level of 304 thousand, whilst analysts were expecting an increase of up to 315 thousand. The average amount of applications for the last 4 weeks, as a result, fell to 312 000, having reached the lowest value since October 2007. Additionally, the index of business activity in the manufacturing industry of the FED of Philadelphia, grew in April to 16,6 points against the forecast of 10,0 points.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index lost just 0,1% and finished the trading session at the level of 16408,54 points. In turn, the Nasdaq Composite index grew by 0,23% to the level of 4095,52 points, and the S&P 500 added 0,14% and reached a level of 1864,85 points.
European stock markets were also boosted by positive statistics from the U.S. and decisions taken in relation to Ukraine. From the statistics in the region, it is possible to note the dynamics of the price index of producers of Germany for March, which decreased by 0,3% on a monthly expression, and 0,9% on an yearly expression, whereas analysts predicted zero change in the monthly calculation and a decrease of 0,7% based over a year.
Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 added 0,62%, the French CAC 40 grew by 0,59%, and the German DAX went to plus on 0,99%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 0,5% and was closed on the level of 332,43 points.
Today, activity in the market is going to be lower than usual in connection with the day off in Europe, the USA, Australia, and Hong Kong.
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2014/04/17
The Conflict Concerning Ukraine Is Again Under The Spotlight
Yesterday, stock markets managed to have another positive trading session, which gave indices ground for an increase, even though the published macroeconomic statistical data was not really positive. Building permits dropped from the level of last month to 0,990 million and appeared to be lower than predictions of 1,008 million. The Capacity Utilization Rate, in turn, showed an increase, when analytics expected a decrease, and it finally made 79,2%. Industrial Production dropped from the level of last month, but appeared to be better than predictions making 0,7%.
Also, a positive attitude was brought to the markets by the speech from the head of the FED. During the speech in the economic club of New York, Janet Yellen declared that the FED intends to carry out monetary support for a rather long period of time, in order to promote a smooth economic recovery.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index grew by 1% to the level of 16424, 85 points, the S&P 500 added 1,05% and reached a level of 1862,31 points, and the Nasdaq Composite increased by 1,29% and is now traded on the level of 4086,22 points.
Attention should also be paid to the growth of prices of oil. The difficult, semi-military situation around the conflict between Ukraine and Russia pushed prices of oil to go up. Kiev accuses Moscow of attempts of destabilization of the internal political processes in the country. In turn, NATO declared their intention to strengthen the military presence in Eastern Europe. As a result of all these speculations, the price of Brent flew up on Wednesday to $110,00 per barrel, traded this morning on the level of $109,77 per barrel, and adding 0,16%. WTI reached yesterday's price of $105,00 per barrel, traded this morning on the price of $103,20 per barrel, and is currently adding 0,17%.
Prices of precious metals are, in turn, losing in value. Gold is falling by 0,38% and is traded on the level of $1298,61 per troy ounce, silver is down 0,45%, and bargaining at the level of $19,55 per troy ounce.
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Also, a positive attitude was brought to the markets by the speech from the head of the FED. During the speech in the economic club of New York, Janet Yellen declared that the FED intends to carry out monetary support for a rather long period of time, in order to promote a smooth economic recovery.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index grew by 1% to the level of 16424, 85 points, the S&P 500 added 1,05% and reached a level of 1862,31 points, and the Nasdaq Composite increased by 1,29% and is now traded on the level of 4086,22 points.
Attention should also be paid to the growth of prices of oil. The difficult, semi-military situation around the conflict between Ukraine and Russia pushed prices of oil to go up. Kiev accuses Moscow of attempts of destabilization of the internal political processes in the country. In turn, NATO declared their intention to strengthen the military presence in Eastern Europe. As a result of all these speculations, the price of Brent flew up on Wednesday to $110,00 per barrel, traded this morning on the level of $109,77 per barrel, and adding 0,16%. WTI reached yesterday's price of $105,00 per barrel, traded this morning on the price of $103,20 per barrel, and is currently adding 0,17%.
Prices of precious metals are, in turn, losing in value. Gold is falling by 0,38% and is traded on the level of $1298,61 per troy ounce, silver is down 0,45%, and bargaining at the level of $19,55 per troy ounce.
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2014/04/14
Negative Moods Prevail In The Markets
Friday's trading session continued the correction which began on Thursday, and indices closed the trading week mainly in the red zone. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0,89% and was closed on the level of 16026,75 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0,95% to the level of 1815,69 points, and Nasdaq Composite lost 0,34%, falling to the level of 3999,73 points.
The question in relation to the current situation in Ukraine is again under investors attention, and is resulting in nervousness on the markets. Over the weekend, the situation did not change and the present authorities of the country are ready to perform a full-scale military operation on the suppression of the restless regions in the southeast of the country. A special session of the UN Security Council, called at the initiative of the Russian Federation, did not bring any positive results as the participants could not come to an agreement.
As a result, prices of oil are continuing to grow this morning, adding 0,85% on Brent, and 0,81% on WTI, traded on $108,31 and $103,45 per barrel accordingly. Precious metals are also traded positively, gold adds 0,59% traded on a level of $1326,74 per troy ounce, and silver is growing by 0,54% bargaining next to the level of $20,05 per troy ounce.
One more interesting event which occurred over the weekend was the meeting of the head of the ECB, Mario Draghi, and governing bodies of the IMF and WB, which took place on Saturday. The main subject that was discussed was the risk of a deflation in the EU, mainly due to the growth of the exchange rate of the Euro. It was declared that in order to decrease that, changes in monetary policy of the regulator will be required.
Thus, verbal interventions which are urged to contain the Euro's growth still continue, but, of course, if the currency pair will reach the level of 1,40, a decrease in interest rates in the region will be inevitable. As a result of this information, the EUR/USD currency pair has opened the trading week with a gap down, and at this moment is traded on the level of 1,3851.
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The question in relation to the current situation in Ukraine is again under investors attention, and is resulting in nervousness on the markets. Over the weekend, the situation did not change and the present authorities of the country are ready to perform a full-scale military operation on the suppression of the restless regions in the southeast of the country. A special session of the UN Security Council, called at the initiative of the Russian Federation, did not bring any positive results as the participants could not come to an agreement.
As a result, prices of oil are continuing to grow this morning, adding 0,85% on Brent, and 0,81% on WTI, traded on $108,31 and $103,45 per barrel accordingly. Precious metals are also traded positively, gold adds 0,59% traded on a level of $1326,74 per troy ounce, and silver is growing by 0,54% bargaining next to the level of $20,05 per troy ounce.
One more interesting event which occurred over the weekend was the meeting of the head of the ECB, Mario Draghi, and governing bodies of the IMF and WB, which took place on Saturday. The main subject that was discussed was the risk of a deflation in the EU, mainly due to the growth of the exchange rate of the Euro. It was declared that in order to decrease that, changes in monetary policy of the regulator will be required.
Thus, verbal interventions which are urged to contain the Euro's growth still continue, but, of course, if the currency pair will reach the level of 1,40, a decrease in interest rates in the region will be inevitable. As a result of this information, the EUR/USD currency pair has opened the trading week with a gap down, and at this moment is traded on the level of 1,3851.
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2014/04/11
The Stock Market Of The U.S. Outlined The Correction
There is an impression that the markets are moving up and down, without having the opportunity to decide on a further direction. One day, indices are growing, another day, they are decreasing, thereby leveling all growth of the previous sessions.
Yesterday, the European indices finished the trading day in different directions. At the beginning of the trading session, investors won due to positive news from the USA. After that, some of the indices began to fall, due to the fact that there was not a lot of macroeconomic statistical data published. As a result, the index of the London stock exchange, the FTSE 100, grew by 0,1%, the index of the Parisian stock exchange, the CAC 40, lost 0,66%, and the index of the Frankfurt stock exchange, DAX, decreased by 0,55%.
A pessimistic mood began in Europe and was followed by American indices. We saw a substantial increase in the price of indices on Wednesday, but it seems that after that, stock markets decided to have a correction. A push factor was the statistical data on export and import in China, which appeared to be extremely lower than the predictions of analysts. Import of the country made a number of minus 11,3%, at an expected growth of 2,4%. Export appeared to be minus 6,6% at the expected 4,0%.
However, the statistical data coming from the U.S. was of a positive character, but indices could not find strength to move up. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits in a week, appeared to be slightly less than expectations on 320 thousand, and made a number of 300 thousand. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index fell by 1,62% to the level of 16170,22 points, the S&P 500 lost 2,09% and reached a level of 1833,08 points, and the Nasdaq Composite had the biggest loss of the day and decreased by 3,1% to the level of 4054,11 points.
Prices of commodities are stable. Brent and WTI are losing 0,26% and 0,30%, traded on levels of $107,24 and $102,07 per barrel. Gold is flat, traded on a price of $1320,86 per troy ounce. Silver is down by 0,24% at $20,04 per troy ounce.
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Yesterday, the European indices finished the trading day in different directions. At the beginning of the trading session, investors won due to positive news from the USA. After that, some of the indices began to fall, due to the fact that there was not a lot of macroeconomic statistical data published. As a result, the index of the London stock exchange, the FTSE 100, grew by 0,1%, the index of the Parisian stock exchange, the CAC 40, lost 0,66%, and the index of the Frankfurt stock exchange, DAX, decreased by 0,55%.
A pessimistic mood began in Europe and was followed by American indices. We saw a substantial increase in the price of indices on Wednesday, but it seems that after that, stock markets decided to have a correction. A push factor was the statistical data on export and import in China, which appeared to be extremely lower than the predictions of analysts. Import of the country made a number of minus 11,3%, at an expected growth of 2,4%. Export appeared to be minus 6,6% at the expected 4,0%.
However, the statistical data coming from the U.S. was of a positive character, but indices could not find strength to move up. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits in a week, appeared to be slightly less than expectations on 320 thousand, and made a number of 300 thousand. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index fell by 1,62% to the level of 16170,22 points, the S&P 500 lost 2,09% and reached a level of 1833,08 points, and the Nasdaq Composite had the biggest loss of the day and decreased by 3,1% to the level of 4054,11 points.
Prices of commodities are stable. Brent and WTI are losing 0,26% and 0,30%, traded on levels of $107,24 and $102,07 per barrel. Gold is flat, traded on a price of $1320,86 per troy ounce. Silver is down by 0,24% at $20,04 per troy ounce.
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2014/04/08
Markets Underwent Massive Sales
On Monday, the American stock market had another losing trading session, and closed with a substantial fall in the major indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1,02% to the level of 16245,87 points, Standard & Poor's 500 lost 1,08% and was closed on the level of 1845,04 points, and the index of high-tech companies, Nasdaq Composite, was down by 1,16% and reached the level of 4079,75 points.
For a long time now, analysts have been discussing the correction in the American stock market. This time, the push factor could be the upcoming reporting season, which will start in America at the end of this week. According to predictions and different estimates, reporting for the first quarter will be weaker than for the last, and in general the reporting season will be the weakest in the past two years.
The point is that we have witnessed for more than one quarter, a fall in revenue growth of the companies, but U.S. indices have continued to show growth and are updating annual and historical highs. Now, it is clearly visible that the discrepancy among the yield growth of the companies and the dynamics of the growth of the stock market indices, have reached unrealistically large quantities. So, in general, the correction in the American stock market is obviously required, because to inflate the bubble continuously is impossible.
The European trading session was also very disappointing and indices finished the day in the red zone. The British index, FTSE 100, lost 1,1%, France's CAC 40 decreased by 1,1% and Germany's DAX went down by 1,9%. The Regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 1,2% and was closed on the level of 334,96 points. Today’s trading session is also going towards the negative territory - DAX is losing 0,73%, FTSE 100 is decreasing by 0,72% and CAC 40 is falling for 0,60% currently.
Prices of commodities are recovering slightly from the levels reached yesterday, Brent and WTI are increasing by 0,47% and 0,67% and are traded on prices of $106,31 and $100,45 per barrel. Gold and silver are up by 1,04% and 0,90%, traded on prices of $1311,83 and $20,09 perr troy ounce.
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For a long time now, analysts have been discussing the correction in the American stock market. This time, the push factor could be the upcoming reporting season, which will start in America at the end of this week. According to predictions and different estimates, reporting for the first quarter will be weaker than for the last, and in general the reporting season will be the weakest in the past two years.
The point is that we have witnessed for more than one quarter, a fall in revenue growth of the companies, but U.S. indices have continued to show growth and are updating annual and historical highs. Now, it is clearly visible that the discrepancy among the yield growth of the companies and the dynamics of the growth of the stock market indices, have reached unrealistically large quantities. So, in general, the correction in the American stock market is obviously required, because to inflate the bubble continuously is impossible.
The European trading session was also very disappointing and indices finished the day in the red zone. The British index, FTSE 100, lost 1,1%, France's CAC 40 decreased by 1,1% and Germany's DAX went down by 1,9%. The Regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, decreased by 1,2% and was closed on the level of 334,96 points. Today’s trading session is also going towards the negative territory - DAX is losing 0,73%, FTSE 100 is decreasing by 0,72% and CAC 40 is falling for 0,60% currently.
Prices of commodities are recovering slightly from the levels reached yesterday, Brent and WTI are increasing by 0,47% and 0,67% and are traded on prices of $106,31 and $100,45 per barrel. Gold and silver are up by 1,04% and 0,90%, traded on prices of $1311,83 and $20,09 perr troy ounce.
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2014/04/07
Markets Are Digesting Last Weeks Events
The last trading week was filled with important economic events and publications of macroeconomic statistical data, which influenced the situation in the stock and currency markets.
European stock markets finished the week rather optimistically, and by the end of the trading session, the British index, FTSE 100, and Germany's DAX, increased by 0,70% and the French CAC 40 added 0,79%. The regional indicator STXE 600 increased, in turn, by 0,60% and was closed at the highest level since January 2008 at 339,18 points, having added around 1,60% within a week.
At the same time, the situation in the American stock market was not as positive and finished in negative territory. Mainly, it was pushed down by weak statistics. The labor market data appeared to be worse than the consensus forecast. Last month 192 thousand jobs were created, against the expected 200 thousand. Additionally, the unemployment rate remained at 6,7% , although analysts predicted a drop to 6,6%.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0,96% and was closed on a level of 16412,71 points, the S&P 500 fell by 1,25% to the level of 1865,09 points, and the biggest loss of the day was obtained by Nasdaq Composite Index, which lost 2,60% and was closed on the level of 4127,73 points.
Commodities are also down this morning, Brent and WTI are losing 1,05% and 0,59% accordingly, traded on prices of $105,51 and $99,87 per barrel. Gold is down by 0,24% on the level of $1300,41 per troy ounce, and silver is traded on a price of $19,86 per troy ounce and is decreasing by 0,45%.
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European stock markets finished the week rather optimistically, and by the end of the trading session, the British index, FTSE 100, and Germany's DAX, increased by 0,70% and the French CAC 40 added 0,79%. The regional indicator STXE 600 increased, in turn, by 0,60% and was closed at the highest level since January 2008 at 339,18 points, having added around 1,60% within a week.
At the same time, the situation in the American stock market was not as positive and finished in negative territory. Mainly, it was pushed down by weak statistics. The labor market data appeared to be worse than the consensus forecast. Last month 192 thousand jobs were created, against the expected 200 thousand. Additionally, the unemployment rate remained at 6,7% , although analysts predicted a drop to 6,6%.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0,96% and was closed on a level of 16412,71 points, the S&P 500 fell by 1,25% to the level of 1865,09 points, and the biggest loss of the day was obtained by Nasdaq Composite Index, which lost 2,60% and was closed on the level of 4127,73 points.
Commodities are also down this morning, Brent and WTI are losing 1,05% and 0,59% accordingly, traded on prices of $105,51 and $99,87 per barrel. Gold is down by 0,24% on the level of $1300,41 per troy ounce, and silver is traded on a price of $19,86 per troy ounce and is decreasing by 0,45%.
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2014/04/03
Outcome Of The ECB Meeting Will Have Investors Attention
Stock markets again pleased the participants of the markets and closed one more trading day with an increase.
According to the published figures from the Institute of ADP, employment in the United States during last month increased by 191 thousand, which almost reached the expectations of analysts at 195 thousands. Additionally, factory orders in February increased by 1,6%, when 1,2% was expected.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0,24% up to the level of 16573,00 points, the Standard & Poor's 500 index grew by 0,29% and was closed on a level of 1890,90 points, while the index of high-tech companies, Nasdaq Composite, moved up by 0,20% and reached the level of 4276,46 points.
European indices also conducted a positive trading session, continuing their positive trend. The British index, FTSE 100, rose by 0,1%, France's CAC 40 added 0,09%, while Germany's DAX increased by 0,2%. The regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, rose by 0,17% and was closed on the level of 336.93 points.
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According to the published figures from the Institute of ADP, employment in the United States during last month increased by 191 thousand, which almost reached the expectations of analysts at 195 thousands. Additionally, factory orders in February increased by 1,6%, when 1,2% was expected.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0,24% up to the level of 16573,00 points, the Standard & Poor's 500 index grew by 0,29% and was closed on a level of 1890,90 points, while the index of high-tech companies, Nasdaq Composite, moved up by 0,20% and reached the level of 4276,46 points.
European indices also conducted a positive trading session, continuing their positive trend. The British index, FTSE 100, rose by 0,1%, France's CAC 40 added 0,09%, while Germany's DAX increased by 0,2%. The regional indicator STXE 600, in turn, rose by 0,17% and was closed on the level of 336.93 points.
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Markets Are Preparing For The Meeting Of The ECB
The U.S. market finished the trading session in positive territory, taking into consideration the increase in the published data on the ISM report, which showed an increase of up to 53,7 points from 53,2 points. Published data appeared to be better than last month, although it was a bit worse than the predictions of analysts on the level of 54,0 points.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0,46% and reached the level of 16532,61 points, the S&P 500 index rose by 0,70% to the level of 1885,52 points, and the index of tech-companies, Nasdaq, jumped up by 1,64% and was closed on the level of 4268,04 points.
Moderate optimism prevailed at the European stock markets. In Europe, investors are still not in a rush to make important decisions before the upcoming ECB meeting. Analysts and investors are trying to anticipate the expected decisions and possible monetary incentives in relation to the slowdown of inflation in the region.
Yesterday the PMI index of several European countries and the Eurozone as a whole, was published. According to the data, business activity in the leading countries of the Union was worse than market expectations. Germany made 53,7 points against the expected 53,8, and the United Kingdom made 55,3 points against expectations of 56,7 points. The Eurozone PMI industry, nevertheless, coincided with the forecast and reached the level of 53 points. As a result, the index of the London Stock Exchange, the FTSE100, grew by 0,82 %, the French CAC40 added 0,80% and the German DAX, 0,5%.
Quotes of oil fell during yesterday’s trading session and this morning are traded on $105,58 for Brent, and $98,89 for WTI, bargaining next to the levels reached yesterday.
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As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0,46% and reached the level of 16532,61 points, the S&P 500 index rose by 0,70% to the level of 1885,52 points, and the index of tech-companies, Nasdaq, jumped up by 1,64% and was closed on the level of 4268,04 points.
Moderate optimism prevailed at the European stock markets. In Europe, investors are still not in a rush to make important decisions before the upcoming ECB meeting. Analysts and investors are trying to anticipate the expected decisions and possible monetary incentives in relation to the slowdown of inflation in the region.
Yesterday the PMI index of several European countries and the Eurozone as a whole, was published. According to the data, business activity in the leading countries of the Union was worse than market expectations. Germany made 53,7 points against the expected 53,8, and the United Kingdom made 55,3 points against expectations of 56,7 points. The Eurozone PMI industry, nevertheless, coincided with the forecast and reached the level of 53 points. As a result, the index of the London Stock Exchange, the FTSE100, grew by 0,82 %, the French CAC40 added 0,80% and the German DAX, 0,5%.
Quotes of oil fell during yesterday’s trading session and this morning are traded on $105,58 for Brent, and $98,89 for WTI, bargaining next to the levels reached yesterday.
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2014/04/01
Yellen Stated That The U.S. Economy Is Still Very Weak
Trading week started rather optimistically. American indexes added around 1% after the speech given by new head of FED, Janet Yellen. She has commented on the economic situation in the United States. Yellen acknowledged that the U.S. economy remains to be sluggish and more likely it will require incentives for longer period.
As, a result Dow Jones Industrial Average index grew by 0,82% and reached level of 16457,66 points, Nasdaq Composite index added 1,04% and has finished trading session on a level of 4198,99 points, S&P 500 increased for 0,79% up to the level of 1872,34 points.
European stock markets also were traded in the positive territory, but have decreased right before the closure of the trading session. Euro Stoxx 50 lost 0,34%. This morning indexes opened trading session in a green zone, DAX is growing for 0,41%, FTSE 100 is adding around 0,39%, CAC 40 adds 0,55%.
Optimism to the markets in the morning also has been brought by statistics from China. The official PMI index in March increased from 50,2 to 50,3 points, analysts were expecting that the index should decline up to 50,1 points. However, according to HSBC, the index of business activity in China fell from 48,1 to 48 points.
Situation in the commodities market remains to be stable, but not really optimistic in relation to further growth. Brent and WTI are losing 0,09% and 0,27% accordingly, traded on a price of 107,56$ and 100,55$ for barrel. Gold is up for 0,26% bargaining next to the level of 1287,12$ for troy ounce. Silver is up for 0,56% on a price of 19,86$ for troy ounce.
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As, a result Dow Jones Industrial Average index grew by 0,82% and reached level of 16457,66 points, Nasdaq Composite index added 1,04% and has finished trading session on a level of 4198,99 points, S&P 500 increased for 0,79% up to the level of 1872,34 points.
European stock markets also were traded in the positive territory, but have decreased right before the closure of the trading session. Euro Stoxx 50 lost 0,34%. This morning indexes opened trading session in a green zone, DAX is growing for 0,41%, FTSE 100 is adding around 0,39%, CAC 40 adds 0,55%.
Optimism to the markets in the morning also has been brought by statistics from China. The official PMI index in March increased from 50,2 to 50,3 points, analysts were expecting that the index should decline up to 50,1 points. However, according to HSBC, the index of business activity in China fell from 48,1 to 48 points.
Situation in the commodities market remains to be stable, but not really optimistic in relation to further growth. Brent and WTI are losing 0,09% and 0,27% accordingly, traded on a price of 107,56$ and 100,55$ for barrel. Gold is up for 0,26% bargaining next to the level of 1287,12$ for troy ounce. Silver is up for 0,56% on a price of 19,86$ for troy ounce.
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2014/03/27
The European indices seems more confident than the American ones
The situation in the stock markets is developing quite ambiguously. Opposition between Russia, the US, and Europe, still puts pressure upon the markets. Additionally, published statistical data didn't show uniform dynamics. Moreover, European leaders already began to manipulate information to put pressure upon the European currency and to contain its further growth.
Yesterday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate decrease. Orders for goods of long use in February increased by 2,2%, which appeared to be significantly higher than forecasts, which assumed a growth of only 1%. At the same time, January’s indicator was reconsidered towards a fall from minus 1,0% to minus 1,3%.
The fall of the indices was also promoted by the statements of the U.S. President in Brussels. Obama stated that the actions of Russia deserve general condemnation, and that the situation in Ukraine could become worse. As a result, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, went down by 0,60% to the level of 16268,99 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, decreased by 0,70% and reached a level of 1852,56 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a minus by 1,43% and dropped down to the level of 4173,58 points.
The European trading session, which took place before the American one, was much more successful. The British FTSE 100 rose by 0,01%, the French CAC 40 increased by 0,94%, and the German DAX went into plus on 1,18%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by 0,7% and was closed on a level of 330,93 points.
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The Published Statistics Gave Support To The Markets
Yesterday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate growth of the main indices for the first time in the last 3 days. In general, the growth of the indices was promoted by the publication of positive statistical data.
The index of consumer confidence in March increased much more than expected, from the revised 78,3 points up to 82,3 points. Sales of new houses in February, meanwhile, were reduced from the reconsidered 0,455 million, to 0,440 million.
As a result, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, raised by 0,56% to the level of 16367,88 points. The index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,44% reaching the level of 1865,62 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a plus by 0,19% and finished the trading session on a level of 4234,27 points.
Among the presented macroeconomic statistical data in Europe, it should be noted that February results coincided with forecasts of analysts on consumer inflation of Great Britain, which increased by 1,7%, in comparison with a 1,9% growth in January. The target level of Bank of England is based on 2%. The index of business optimism of IFO of Germany for March, meanwhile, appeared at a rate of 110,7 points, whereas economists were expecting 111 points.
Thankfully, due to this, European indices managed to gain even more than the American ones. The key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100 grew by 1,3%, the French CAC 40 increased by 1,59%, and the German DAX went to a plus by 1,63%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, increased by 1,29% and was closed on a level of 328,57 points.
The situation in the commodities market remains stable and is moving in a positive direction. Brent and WTI are adding 0,11% and 0,04% accordingly, traded on prices of $107,11 and $99,23 per barrel. Gold is up by 0,28%, bargaining on a price of $1315,10 per troy ounce. Silver is gaining 0,60% and is traded on a level of $20,10 per troy ounce.
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The index of consumer confidence in March increased much more than expected, from the revised 78,3 points up to 82,3 points. Sales of new houses in February, meanwhile, were reduced from the reconsidered 0,455 million, to 0,440 million.
As a result, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, raised by 0,56% to the level of 16367,88 points. The index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0,44% reaching the level of 1865,62 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a plus by 0,19% and finished the trading session on a level of 4234,27 points.
Among the presented macroeconomic statistical data in Europe, it should be noted that February results coincided with forecasts of analysts on consumer inflation of Great Britain, which increased by 1,7%, in comparison with a 1,9% growth in January. The target level of Bank of England is based on 2%. The index of business optimism of IFO of Germany for March, meanwhile, appeared at a rate of 110,7 points, whereas economists were expecting 111 points.
Thankfully, due to this, European indices managed to gain even more than the American ones. The key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100 grew by 1,3%, the French CAC 40 increased by 1,59%, and the German DAX went to a plus by 1,63%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, increased by 1,29% and was closed on a level of 328,57 points.
The situation in the commodities market remains stable and is moving in a positive direction. Brent and WTI are adding 0,11% and 0,04% accordingly, traded on prices of $107,11 and $99,23 per barrel. Gold is up by 0,28%, bargaining on a price of $1315,10 per troy ounce. Silver is gaining 0,60% and is traded on a level of $20,10 per troy ounce.
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2014/03/25
The Statistics Disappointed Investors And Sent The Markets To A Red Zone
Trading session on Monday, generally took place under pressure of published statistical data, which in Europe and in the U.S. disappointed participants of the markets.
Preliminary data on an index of business activity in the industrial and services sectors of Germany for March made 53,8 and 54 points respectively, in comparison with 54,8 and 55,9 points in February. Meanwhile, similar indicators of the Eurozone made 53,0 and 52,4 points respectively, whereas a month earlier values were at the levels of 53,2 and 52,6 points.
Following the results of the session, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, went down for 0,6%, French CAC 40 lost 1,4%, and German DAX went to a minus for 1,7%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 1,1% and was closed on a level of 324,39 points. PMI index in the USA, counted by research group MarkIt decreased in March up to 55,5 points from 57,1 points in February, reflecting delay of growth rates of business activity in the industry of the USA.
American session continues fall of the European indexes and the indicator of blue chips, Dow Jones Industrial Average went down on 0,16% up to the level of 16276,69 points, the index of the wide market Standard & Poor's 500 decreased by 0,49% and reached level of 1857,44 points, and the index of high-tech industries of Nasdaq Composite went to a minus on 1,18% and reached a level of 4226,39 points.
World stock markets are still influenced and endure a stress from political opposition of Russia and the countries of Europe and the USA. Yesterday the Big Seven at meeting in the Hague made the decision, that the summit of G8 planned earlier in Sochi will take place in Brussels in the G7 format, without participation of Russia. The decision is made in connection with a situation around Ukraine and will be in force until the Russian side will not change the policy concerning Ukraine and the Crimea.
This week the special attention will be paid to statistics, in particular, to influence of bad weather on statistics. In case, if not a snowfalls in the USA were the reason of weak indicators, and weakening of economy - markets will receive more negative news.
***
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Preliminary data on an index of business activity in the industrial and services sectors of Germany for March made 53,8 and 54 points respectively, in comparison with 54,8 and 55,9 points in February. Meanwhile, similar indicators of the Eurozone made 53,0 and 52,4 points respectively, whereas a month earlier values were at the levels of 53,2 and 52,6 points.
Following the results of the session, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, went down for 0,6%, French CAC 40 lost 1,4%, and German DAX went to a minus for 1,7%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 1,1% and was closed on a level of 324,39 points. PMI index in the USA, counted by research group MarkIt decreased in March up to 55,5 points from 57,1 points in February, reflecting delay of growth rates of business activity in the industry of the USA.
American session continues fall of the European indexes and the indicator of blue chips, Dow Jones Industrial Average went down on 0,16% up to the level of 16276,69 points, the index of the wide market Standard & Poor's 500 decreased by 0,49% and reached level of 1857,44 points, and the index of high-tech industries of Nasdaq Composite went to a minus on 1,18% and reached a level of 4226,39 points.
World stock markets are still influenced and endure a stress from political opposition of Russia and the countries of Europe and the USA. Yesterday the Big Seven at meeting in the Hague made the decision, that the summit of G8 planned earlier in Sochi will take place in Brussels in the G7 format, without participation of Russia. The decision is made in connection with a situation around Ukraine and will be in force until the Russian side will not change the policy concerning Ukraine and the Crimea.
This week the special attention will be paid to statistics, in particular, to influence of bad weather on statistics. In case, if not a snowfalls in the USA were the reason of weak indicators, and weakening of economy - markets will receive more negative news.
***
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2014/03/18
The First Sanctions Against Russia Have Only Political Character
The Russian President, Vladimir Putin, has signed the decree regarding the recognition of the Republic of Crimea. This news is not really positive for world platforms, but didn't affect the markets very negatively after all, as sanctions taken by various countries were rather soft. During the meeting that took place yesterday, Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the European Union introduced visa and financial restrictions for 13 Russian, and 8 Crimean officials.
In turn, the situation on the American platforms was also supported by the publication of strong statistics on industrial production in the country, which, in February, grew by 0,6% showing the maximum growth in six months. The restoration of economic activity of the USA after the cold winter brings optimism and inspires investors. The Dow Jones index grew by 1,13% to the level of 16247,22 points, NASDAQ added 0,81% and reached a level of 4279,95 points, and S&P 500 appeared in the plus by 0,96% finishing the trading day on the level of 1858,83 points.
The stock exchanges of the Asian Pacific Region are also bargaining in the green zone this morning, mainly due to the news of the soft sanctions taken against Russia by the EU and the USA. The Japanese Nikkei index grew by 0,94% so far, the Chinese Shanghai Composite by 0,08%, the Korean KOSPI added 0,91%, and the Hong Kong HANG SENG appeared in the plus by 0,48%.
Stabilization of the geopolitical situation affected the commodities market and is pushing the price of commodities to go down. Brent adds 0,24% and dropped to the level of 106,50$ per barrel, and WTI is increasing by 0,14% and is traded on a level of 97,76$ per barrel. Gold and silver are losing 0,87% and 1,03% accordingly, traded on prices of 1361,00$ and 21,06$ per troy ounce.
Now, the main question remains to be the risk of escalation of the situation in other territories of Ukraine. The insignificance of the sanctions declared yesterday by the US and the European Union could either testify to their unwillingness to break economic relations with Russia, or could be reflecting the sluggishness of the western bureaucracy.
***
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In turn, the situation on the American platforms was also supported by the publication of strong statistics on industrial production in the country, which, in February, grew by 0,6% showing the maximum growth in six months. The restoration of economic activity of the USA after the cold winter brings optimism and inspires investors. The Dow Jones index grew by 1,13% to the level of 16247,22 points, NASDAQ added 0,81% and reached a level of 4279,95 points, and S&P 500 appeared in the plus by 0,96% finishing the trading day on the level of 1858,83 points.
The stock exchanges of the Asian Pacific Region are also bargaining in the green zone this morning, mainly due to the news of the soft sanctions taken against Russia by the EU and the USA. The Japanese Nikkei index grew by 0,94% so far, the Chinese Shanghai Composite by 0,08%, the Korean KOSPI added 0,91%, and the Hong Kong HANG SENG appeared in the plus by 0,48%.
Stabilization of the geopolitical situation affected the commodities market and is pushing the price of commodities to go down. Brent adds 0,24% and dropped to the level of 106,50$ per barrel, and WTI is increasing by 0,14% and is traded on a level of 97,76$ per barrel. Gold and silver are losing 0,87% and 1,03% accordingly, traded on prices of 1361,00$ and 21,06$ per troy ounce.
Now, the main question remains to be the risk of escalation of the situation in other territories of Ukraine. The insignificance of the sanctions declared yesterday by the US and the European Union could either testify to their unwillingness to break economic relations with Russia, or could be reflecting the sluggishness of the western bureaucracy.
***
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2014/03/17
The Majority Of The Population Of Crimea Voted For Accession To Russia
The question concerning Crimea still remains on the agenda. According to the preliminary results of the referendum, which already passed in Crimea, nearly 96% of the voters who took part in the plebiscite about the status of Crimea, voted for entry of an autonomy within the structure of Russia. However, official authorities of Ukraine, and also leaders of many foreign states, (OSCE and other international organizations) are considering that the referendum has gone against the constitution of the country. However, Russia considers it legitimate.
On the eve of this referendum, the key stock indices of Europe finished the trading session in the red zone. Following the results of the trading session on Friday, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, went down by 0,4%. The French CAC 40 lost 0,8% and the German DAX went to plus by 0,43%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 0,7% and was closed on a level of 322,23 points. This morning, DAX and CAC 40 are up by 0,64%, FTSE 100 is adding 0,41%.
The remaining situation is also having an effect on the commodities market, where precious metals are increasing in price. Gold is up by 0,06%, and platinum grows by 0,44%, traded on the levels of 1379,80$ and 1476,10$ per troy ounce accordingly. Silver is down by just 0,02% on a level of 21,41$ per troy ounce.
Prices of oil, in the meantime, are falling. Brent is down by 0,50% on a price of 107,67$ per barrel, and WTI is losing 0,21% on a level of 98,35$ per barrel.
***
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On the eve of this referendum, the key stock indices of Europe finished the trading session in the red zone. Following the results of the trading session on Friday, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, went down by 0,4%. The French CAC 40 lost 0,8% and the German DAX went to plus by 0,43%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 0,7% and was closed on a level of 322,23 points. This morning, DAX and CAC 40 are up by 0,64%, FTSE 100 is adding 0,41%.
The remaining situation is also having an effect on the commodities market, where precious metals are increasing in price. Gold is up by 0,06%, and platinum grows by 0,44%, traded on the levels of 1379,80$ and 1476,10$ per troy ounce accordingly. Silver is down by just 0,02% on a level of 21,41$ per troy ounce.
Prices of oil, in the meantime, are falling. Brent is down by 0,50% on a price of 107,67$ per barrel, and WTI is losing 0,21% on a level of 98,35$ per barrel.
***
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2014/03/12
The Negative Statistics And Nervousness Concerning Ukraine, Still Presses On The Markets
The markets seem to be stiffened with expectations or fears due to the pressure from various events, and seem unable to find the opportunity to find ground for movement in one direction or another. The Ukrainian factor still puts pressure upon world platforms. Victor Yanukovych speech, which took place yesterday, did not become a sensation, but, at the same time, did not minimize uncertainty in the markets. The international disputes on the legitimacy of occurring events remain in the spotlight. In the meantime, the process of separation of Crimea continues to develop. Yesterday, the Supreme Council of the autonomy adopted the declaration of independence of the republic.
Published macroeconomic statistics in the Eurozone also disappointed investors. Growth of industrial production of Great Britain in January made 0.1% for the month and 2,9% for the year, when analysts were predicting 0,2% and 3,0% respectively. At the same time, the surplus of the trade balance of Germany was reduced in January from 18,3 billion euro a month earlier, to 17,2 billion euro, which was worse than market expectations of 17,7 billion euro.
As a result, the trading session in Europe finished with the British FTSE 100 falling by 0,06%, the French CAC 40 by 0,48%, and the German DAX increasing by 0,46%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by less than 0,1%, having closed on a mark of 337,28 points.
The attention of investors was also drawn towards the statistics from China, where the export in the country was reduced in February by 18%, which warmed up fears concerning the rates of its economic growth. This news pushed the American indices to go down, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average index weakened by 0,41%, closing on a level of 16351,25 points. The index of the wide market, S&P 500, went to a minus by 0,51% to the level of 1867,63 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, fell by 0,63% to a level of 4307,19 points.
Reuters reports that the Chinese Central Bank could, for the first time since 2012, reduce norms of reservation for banks, if rates of economic growth will fall lower than 7,5%. The following big block of statistics from China is expected tomorrow - data on retails and industrial production for February.
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Published macroeconomic statistics in the Eurozone also disappointed investors. Growth of industrial production of Great Britain in January made 0.1% for the month and 2,9% for the year, when analysts were predicting 0,2% and 3,0% respectively. At the same time, the surplus of the trade balance of Germany was reduced in January from 18,3 billion euro a month earlier, to 17,2 billion euro, which was worse than market expectations of 17,7 billion euro.
As a result, the trading session in Europe finished with the British FTSE 100 falling by 0,06%, the French CAC 40 by 0,48%, and the German DAX increasing by 0,46%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by less than 0,1%, having closed on a mark of 337,28 points.
The attention of investors was also drawn towards the statistics from China, where the export in the country was reduced in February by 18%, which warmed up fears concerning the rates of its economic growth. This news pushed the American indices to go down, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average index weakened by 0,41%, closing on a level of 16351,25 points. The index of the wide market, S&P 500, went to a minus by 0,51% to the level of 1867,63 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, fell by 0,63% to a level of 4307,19 points.
Reuters reports that the Chinese Central Bank could, for the first time since 2012, reduce norms of reservation for banks, if rates of economic growth will fall lower than 7,5%. The following big block of statistics from China is expected tomorrow - data on retails and industrial production for February.
***
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2014/03/10
The Positive Statistics From The Labor Market Supported The Markets
On the last day of the first trading week of the month, as always, it was marked with the publication of one of the most important macroeconomic statistical reports of the United States - data on the labor market from the Ministry of Labor of the USA, as well as the change of employment in the non-agricultural sector of the country.
The published data appeared to be better than expectations of 151 thousand, making 175 thousand. According to experts, labor employment in February could've proceeded more actively if not for the extreme weather conditions in many states of the country, which saw people spending twice as much time in order to get to work, and experiencing serious transport difficulties. Thus, there is hope that the decrease in the indicator had a seasonal nature, and the situation in the sector will continue to stabilize. In the meantime, unemployment rate grew to 6.7% from 6.6% in January.
As a result, the Dow Jones industrial average index raised by 0.19% to the level of 16452.72 points, and the increase over the week made 0.8%. The Standard & Poor's 500 index raised by just 0.05%, having closed at the level of 1878.04 points, and gained 1.0% throughout the week. The Nasdaq Composite index decreased by 0.37% to the value of 4336.22 points, having added 0.7% within the week.
Commodities opened the trading week in the red zone. Gold was also falling in price on Friday, as positive data on employment, most likely, will give the FED grounds to reduce the QE-3 program once again, at the same volume at the following meeting. Even gold gained 1.3% for the last week, and this morning the price of the precious metal is falling by 0.50% and is traded on a level of 1331.58$ per troy ounce. Silver is losing even more – 1.14%, bargaining next to the level of 20.69$ per troy ounce.
Brent and WTI are losing 0.96% and 1.28% accordingly, traded on prices of 107.42$ and 100.69$ per barrel.
***
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The published data appeared to be better than expectations of 151 thousand, making 175 thousand. According to experts, labor employment in February could've proceeded more actively if not for the extreme weather conditions in many states of the country, which saw people spending twice as much time in order to get to work, and experiencing serious transport difficulties. Thus, there is hope that the decrease in the indicator had a seasonal nature, and the situation in the sector will continue to stabilize. In the meantime, unemployment rate grew to 6.7% from 6.6% in January.
As a result, the Dow Jones industrial average index raised by 0.19% to the level of 16452.72 points, and the increase over the week made 0.8%. The Standard & Poor's 500 index raised by just 0.05%, having closed at the level of 1878.04 points, and gained 1.0% throughout the week. The Nasdaq Composite index decreased by 0.37% to the value of 4336.22 points, having added 0.7% within the week.
Commodities opened the trading week in the red zone. Gold was also falling in price on Friday, as positive data on employment, most likely, will give the FED grounds to reduce the QE-3 program once again, at the same volume at the following meeting. Even gold gained 1.3% for the last week, and this morning the price of the precious metal is falling by 0.50% and is traded on a level of 1331.58$ per troy ounce. Silver is losing even more – 1.14%, bargaining next to the level of 20.69$ per troy ounce.
Brent and WTI are losing 0.96% and 1.28% accordingly, traded on prices of 107.42$ and 100.69$ per barrel.
***
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2014/03/06
Meeting Of The European Central Bank Is The Center Of Attention
According to the published data in the Eurozone, the index of business activity in the services sector rose in February to 52.6 points, from 51.7 points a month earlier. Retail sales grew in January by 1.6% after a fall of 1.3% in December. Besides that, gross domestic product in the Eurozone, according to the revised data, increased in the fourth quarter by 0.3% at the quarterly expression, and 0.5% at the yearly expression, which coincided with preliminary data and expectations of the majority of analysts.
Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 receded by 0.71%, the French CAC 40 became 0.11% easier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.49%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased, in turn, by less than 0.1%, having closed on a mark of 337.06 points. It should be noted that the markets of Belgium, Italy, Spain, Switzerland and Scandinavia, were closed in the "green" zone.
As for the statistics from the USA, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere made 51.6 points in February, while analysts predicted a result of 53.5 points. Data on the labor market also disappointed investors, employment of ADP made 139 thousand, which was worse than expectations of analysts on a level of 160 thousand. Additionally, the previous value of the indicator was reconsidered to the smaller amount, from 175 thousand to 127 thousand.
Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, Dow Jones Industrial Average, went down by 0.22% to the level of 16360.18 points, the index of the wide market, Standard&Poor's 500, decreased by just 0.01% reaching a level of 1873.81 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to plus on 0.14% and reached the level of 4357.97 points.
The chairman of the FED, Janet Yellen, declared yesterday that some time may pass before the regulator will be able to see positive statistical data supporting positive development of economic conditions. In the speech, Yellen noted that the FED needs to perform a huge amount of difficult work in order to achieve target indicators on inflation and unemployment, and also restore damage from the financial crisis. Further decisions regarding the QE3 program are going to be taken during the next meeting of the FED, which will take place on the 18th-19th of March.
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Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 receded by 0.71%, the French CAC 40 became 0.11% easier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.49%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased, in turn, by less than 0.1%, having closed on a mark of 337.06 points. It should be noted that the markets of Belgium, Italy, Spain, Switzerland and Scandinavia, were closed in the "green" zone.
As for the statistics from the USA, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere made 51.6 points in February, while analysts predicted a result of 53.5 points. Data on the labor market also disappointed investors, employment of ADP made 139 thousand, which was worse than expectations of analysts on a level of 160 thousand. Additionally, the previous value of the indicator was reconsidered to the smaller amount, from 175 thousand to 127 thousand.
Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, Dow Jones Industrial Average, went down by 0.22% to the level of 16360.18 points, the index of the wide market, Standard&Poor's 500, decreased by just 0.01% reaching a level of 1873.81 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to plus on 0.14% and reached the level of 4357.97 points.
The chairman of the FED, Janet Yellen, declared yesterday that some time may pass before the regulator will be able to see positive statistical data supporting positive development of economic conditions. In the speech, Yellen noted that the FED needs to perform a huge amount of difficult work in order to achieve target indicators on inflation and unemployment, and also restore damage from the financial crisis. Further decisions regarding the QE3 program are going to be taken during the next meeting of the FED, which will take place on the 18th-19th of March.
***
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2014/03/04
Tension Round The Conflict Between Russia And Ukraine Presses On The Markets
Yesterday’s trading session took place under pressure from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The main Russian indices lost more than 10%-12%, and shares of the largest companies which are counted as a part of the indices, lost from 5% to 20%. This morning at the opening of the trading session, the situation seemed to be stabilizing slightly, but the perspectives of the Russian market on the short-term prospective are not so bright. MICEX is up by 2.11% and RTS is increasing by 2.54%, shares of the companies are, in majority, in the green zone, but are adding insignificant amounts in comparison to yesterday’s fall.
The trading session in the United States was also influenced by negative moods surrounding the conflict in Ukraine, and indices closed the trading day in the red zone. Even good macroeconomic statistical data that was published could not give enough support to the market. Growth rates of personal income in January made 0.3%, while personal expenses 0.4%, at average forecasts of these indicators on 0.2% and 0.1%. Expenses on construction for January increased by 0.1%, though a decrease by 0.5% was expected, and December's growth rate was reconsidered towards a significant increase from 0.1% to 1.5%. At last, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere in February made 53.2, at average expectations on the level of 52.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went down by 0.94% to the level of 16168.03 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.74% to the level of 1845.73 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a minus by 0.72% and reached a level of 4277.30 points.
The same picture was observed during the European session. Improvement of the statistics on the industry in Switzerland, the Eurozone, and Germany, were still unable to give considerable support to the exchanges. The British FTSE 100 index went down by 1.49% to a level of 6708.35 points, the Swiss SMI lost 2.29% and reached the level of 8281.01 points, and the German DAX decreased by 3.44% to the level of 9358.89 points.
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The trading session in the United States was also influenced by negative moods surrounding the conflict in Ukraine, and indices closed the trading day in the red zone. Even good macroeconomic statistical data that was published could not give enough support to the market. Growth rates of personal income in January made 0.3%, while personal expenses 0.4%, at average forecasts of these indicators on 0.2% and 0.1%. Expenses on construction for January increased by 0.1%, though a decrease by 0.5% was expected, and December's growth rate was reconsidered towards a significant increase from 0.1% to 1.5%. At last, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere in February made 53.2, at average expectations on the level of 52.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went down by 0.94% to the level of 16168.03 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.74% to the level of 1845.73 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a minus by 0.72% and reached a level of 4277.30 points.
The same picture was observed during the European session. Improvement of the statistics on the industry in Switzerland, the Eurozone, and Germany, were still unable to give considerable support to the exchanges. The British FTSE 100 index went down by 1.49% to a level of 6708.35 points, the Swiss SMI lost 2.29% and reached the level of 8281.01 points, and the German DAX decreased by 3.44% to the level of 9358.89 points.
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2014/03/03
The Russian Market Is Captured By A Panic
The end of the 2013 and the beginning of 2014 can be characterized with the fact that the markets are trying to manage to cope with unforeseen situations and news from different corners of the earth. Markets just managed more or less to stabilize situation in the emerging markets of the developing countries, after FED made the decision to start cutting off the program of quantitative easing, then new problems are starting to fall upon the markets of the different countries.
The whole world watched more than a month a situation developing in Ukraine, which brought to weakening of the Ukrainian currency and destabilization of the financial situation of the country. There are opinions, that the country default, is almost inevitable. In addition to it the situation in Ukraine led to collapse in the Russian market, which strongly gave up on Friday and continued to decrease today at the opening of the trading session.
MICEX at this moment is losing 8,26%, traded on a level of the 1325,33 points; RTS is down for 9,59%, traded on a level of the 1146,13 points. All the stocks of the Russian companies are traded in minus, Gazprom is down for 11,39%, VTB bank is losing 11,79%, Sberbank decreasing for 8,70%. All the other companies are down for more than 5%. Russian ruble is very weak and in relation to EUR traded above 50 rubles. One of the Russian banks in the region of the Krasnoyarsk, Sibirskiy bank, has put a sell level of euro on a price of 60 rubles. At present in the market simply reigns the panic.
In turn, American indexes on Friday managed to close weak in a moderate plus. The Dow Jones industrial average index raised on 0,30% up to the level of 16321,71 points, the S&P 500 index raised on 0,28%, having closed at the level of 1859,45 points and just the Nasdaq Composite index decreased on 0,25% up to value of 4308,12 points.
Statistical data on GDP of the country disappointed the market and has made 2,4% at expected 2,5%. However, published then final index of consumer confidence of Michigan university which raised in February to 81,6 points from 81,2 points in January encouraged investors, having surpassed both consensus forecast of 81,3 points, and preliminary value of 81,2 points.
Asian stock markets are traded in a red zone and are losing around 1%, European stock markets also started trading session in a red zone, German DAX is losing 2,38%, French CAC40 decreasing for 0,76%.
The only positive development can be observed on the commodities market, where Brent and WTI are increasing for 1,41% and 1,25% traded on a price of 110,17$ and 103,16$ for barrel. Gold is increasing for 1,91% up to the level of 1346,91$ and silver is up for 1,73%, bargaining next to the level of 21,61$ for troy ounce.
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The whole world watched more than a month a situation developing in Ukraine, which brought to weakening of the Ukrainian currency and destabilization of the financial situation of the country. There are opinions, that the country default, is almost inevitable. In addition to it the situation in Ukraine led to collapse in the Russian market, which strongly gave up on Friday and continued to decrease today at the opening of the trading session.
MICEX at this moment is losing 8,26%, traded on a level of the 1325,33 points; RTS is down for 9,59%, traded on a level of the 1146,13 points. All the stocks of the Russian companies are traded in minus, Gazprom is down for 11,39%, VTB bank is losing 11,79%, Sberbank decreasing for 8,70%. All the other companies are down for more than 5%. Russian ruble is very weak and in relation to EUR traded above 50 rubles. One of the Russian banks in the region of the Krasnoyarsk, Sibirskiy bank, has put a sell level of euro on a price of 60 rubles. At present in the market simply reigns the panic.
In turn, American indexes on Friday managed to close weak in a moderate plus. The Dow Jones industrial average index raised on 0,30% up to the level of 16321,71 points, the S&P 500 index raised on 0,28%, having closed at the level of 1859,45 points and just the Nasdaq Composite index decreased on 0,25% up to value of 4308,12 points.
Statistical data on GDP of the country disappointed the market and has made 2,4% at expected 2,5%. However, published then final index of consumer confidence of Michigan university which raised in February to 81,6 points from 81,2 points in January encouraged investors, having surpassed both consensus forecast of 81,3 points, and preliminary value of 81,2 points.
Asian stock markets are traded in a red zone and are losing around 1%, European stock markets also started trading session in a red zone, German DAX is losing 2,38%, French CAC40 decreasing for 0,76%.
The only positive development can be observed on the commodities market, where Brent and WTI are increasing for 1,41% and 1,25% traded on a price of 110,17$ and 103,16$ for barrel. Gold is increasing for 1,91% up to the level of 1346,91$ and silver is up for 1,73%, bargaining next to the level of 21,61$ for troy ounce.
***
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2014/02/27
There Is Not Enough Positive News In The Markets
After a long period of disappointing data from America, yesterday the statistics were finally able to please the participants of the market, which supported positions of the dollar (which had been considerably weakened in relation to all main currencies in the past several weeks).
Accordingly to the data published yesterday, sales of new houses in January reached the maximum level since July, 2008 - 0.468 million, whereas analysts predicted an increase up to only 0.4 million. At the same time,the December value of the indicator was reconsidered from 0.414 million to 0.427 million.
It also should be noted that yesterday investors could've followed speeches of the head of the FED of Dallas, Richard Fischer, and the head of the FED of Boston, Eric Rosengren. In particular, Fischer hopes that the FED will continue turning of the program of purchase of assets on $10 billion monthly, even in the case of an essential correction in the stock market. Meanwhile, Eric Rosengren, who is against further cuts of the QE3 program, declared that there is remaining weakness on the labor market, and also the weather factor influenced the deterioration of the latest economic data, which demands the continuation of aggressive stimulation of the national economy.
All these factors have been having a short term effect on the markets, and as a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index rose by 0.12% and was closed on a level of 16 198.41 points, the S&P 500 went to plus by 0.01% to the level of 1845.16 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 0.10% to the level of 4292.06 points.
The situation in the commodities market has not changed significantly. Brent and WTI are losing this morning, 0.09% and 0.20% accordingly, traded on levels of 109.42$ and 102.38$ per barrel. Silver and gold are also a bit weaker, falling down by 0.16% and 0.35% accordingly. Gold is on a price of 1325.83$ per troy ounce, silver is on the level of 21.18$ per troy ounce.
***
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Accordingly to the data published yesterday, sales of new houses in January reached the maximum level since July, 2008 - 0.468 million, whereas analysts predicted an increase up to only 0.4 million. At the same time,the December value of the indicator was reconsidered from 0.414 million to 0.427 million.
It also should be noted that yesterday investors could've followed speeches of the head of the FED of Dallas, Richard Fischer, and the head of the FED of Boston, Eric Rosengren. In particular, Fischer hopes that the FED will continue turning of the program of purchase of assets on $10 billion monthly, even in the case of an essential correction in the stock market. Meanwhile, Eric Rosengren, who is against further cuts of the QE3 program, declared that there is remaining weakness on the labor market, and also the weather factor influenced the deterioration of the latest economic data, which demands the continuation of aggressive stimulation of the national economy.
All these factors have been having a short term effect on the markets, and as a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index rose by 0.12% and was closed on a level of 16 198.41 points, the S&P 500 went to plus by 0.01% to the level of 1845.16 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 0.10% to the level of 4292.06 points.
The situation in the commodities market has not changed significantly. Brent and WTI are losing this morning, 0.09% and 0.20% accordingly, traded on levels of 109.42$ and 102.38$ per barrel. Silver and gold are also a bit weaker, falling down by 0.16% and 0.35% accordingly. Gold is on a price of 1325.83$ per troy ounce, silver is on the level of 21.18$ per troy ounce.
***
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2014/02/26
New Drivers Are Necessary In The Markets For Further Movement
Yesterday's trading session ended in the red zone, indices were consolidating at the reached levels, unable to move forward, but at the same time they were not ready to lose these levels.
The statistics which were published during the day were generally of a mixed character. The economy of Germany increased in the 4th quarter of the past year by 0.4%, in comparison with the last three months. In an annual expression, gross domestic product of Germany grew by 1.4%, the data coinciding with preliminary estimates and forecasts of analysts.
Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 decreased by 0.52%, and the French CAC 40 and German DAX lost 0.10%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by less than 0.1%, having closed on the level of 338.39 points.
This morning the index of consumer confidence of Gfk for March was published already, which made 8.5 points, when 8.2 points were expected.
As for the statistics from the USA, the price index on real estate, counted for the 20 largest cities in December, grew by 0.76% in comparison with last month, where analysts expected growth of the indicator by 0.6%. In the meantime, the index of consumer confidence in the USA decreased in February to 78.1 points. Analysts predicted the indicator to fall to only 80 points.
Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, was closed on a level of 16179.66 points and lost 0.17%. The index of the wide market S&P 500 lost 0.13% and reached the level of 1845.12 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, receded by 0.13% to the level of 4287.59 points.
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The statistics which were published during the day were generally of a mixed character. The economy of Germany increased in the 4th quarter of the past year by 0.4%, in comparison with the last three months. In an annual expression, gross domestic product of Germany grew by 1.4%, the data coinciding with preliminary estimates and forecasts of analysts.
Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 decreased by 0.52%, and the French CAC 40 and German DAX lost 0.10%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by less than 0.1%, having closed on the level of 338.39 points.
This morning the index of consumer confidence of Gfk for March was published already, which made 8.5 points, when 8.2 points were expected.
As for the statistics from the USA, the price index on real estate, counted for the 20 largest cities in December, grew by 0.76% in comparison with last month, where analysts expected growth of the indicator by 0.6%. In the meantime, the index of consumer confidence in the USA decreased in February to 78.1 points. Analysts predicted the indicator to fall to only 80 points.
Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, was closed on a level of 16179.66 points and lost 0.17%. The index of the wide market S&P 500 lost 0.13% and reached the level of 1845.12 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, receded by 0.13% to the level of 4287.59 points.
***
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2014/02/25
Europe Continues To Please Investors With Positive Statistics
On Monday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate growth of the main indices. During the session, the Standard & Poor's 500 index managed to surpass the previous record, recorded on the 15th of January, 2014. S&P 500 managed to increase by 0.62% to the level of 1847.61 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average raised by 0.64% to the level of 16207.14 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to plus on 0.69% and reached the level of 4292.97 points.
The trading session in Europe was also rather positive, supported by publications of good macroeconomic statistical data. The index of business optimism of IFO of Germany for February, made 111.3 points, at average forecasts of 110.6 points. Besides that, it is worth paying attention to the final data on the Eurozone consumer price index for January which, as expected, decreased by 1.1%, whereas in comparison with the data of the similar period of last year, the growth of the indicator made 0.8%.
Following the results of the trading session, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.4%, the French CAC 40 added 0.9%, and the German DAX went to plus by 0.5%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.6% and was closed on a level of 338.19 points.
The positive spirit was also carried over to the Asian exchanges, where, since the morning, trading takes place in positive territory. The Japanese Nikkei grows by 1.44%, the Korean KOSPI adds 0.74% and only the Shanghai Composite index losses 2.05%.
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The trading session in Europe was also rather positive, supported by publications of good macroeconomic statistical data. The index of business optimism of IFO of Germany for February, made 111.3 points, at average forecasts of 110.6 points. Besides that, it is worth paying attention to the final data on the Eurozone consumer price index for January which, as expected, decreased by 1.1%, whereas in comparison with the data of the similar period of last year, the growth of the indicator made 0.8%.
Following the results of the trading session, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.4%, the French CAC 40 added 0.9%, and the German DAX went to plus by 0.5%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.6% and was closed on a level of 338.19 points.
The positive spirit was also carried over to the Asian exchanges, where, since the morning, trading takes place in positive territory. The Japanese Nikkei grows by 1.44%, the Korean KOSPI adds 0.74% and only the Shanghai Composite index losses 2.05%.
****
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Neutral Dynamics Remain In The Markets
Last week finished on a positive note, with the European stock markets managing to close the third trading week in a row with an increase. Following the results of the session, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.37%, the French CAC 40 added 0.59%, and the German DAX went to plus by 0.4%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.39% and was closed on a level of 336.09 points, which represents the maximum value in six years.
At the same time, the situation in the American market was not so positive, and indices closed the week with a small decrease. The Dow Jones lost 0.24%, finishing on the level of 16103.30 points. The S&P 500 fell by 0.08% traded on a level of 1836.25 points, and the Nasdaq managed to keep in a symbolical plus by 0.09%, reaching the level of 4263.41 points.
Macroeconomic statistical data published on Friday was quite different. Data on the labor market for the last two months, in fact, has been rather positive, but at the same time, data in the real estate sector absolutely disappointed investors. So, the figures from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) showed that the trust level among builders significantly worsened in February to a level of 46 points, in comparison with 56 points last month.
The situation in the commodities market remains the same. Brent this morning adds 0.09% and is traded on a level of 109.95$ per barrel. WTI is increasing by 0.18% and is bargaining next to the level of 102.38$ per barrel. Gold and silver are increasing by 0.58% and 0.32% accordingly, traded on levels of 1331.22$ and 21.85$ per troy ounce.
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Last week finished on a positive note, with the European stock
markets managing to close the third trading week in a row with an
increase. Following the results of the session, the index of Great
Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.37%, the French CAC 40 added 0.59%,
and the German DAX went to plus by 0.4%. The regional STXE 600 indicator
increased by 0.39% and was closed on a level of 336.09 points, which
represents the maximum value in six years.
At the same time, the situation in the American market was not so positive, and indices closed the week with a small decrease. The Dow Jones lost 0.24%, finishing on the level of 16103.30 points. The S&P 500 fell by 0.08% traded on a level of 1836.25 points, and the Nasdaq managed to keep in a symbolical plus by 0.09%, reaching the level of 4263.41 points.
Macroeconomic statistical data published on Friday was quite different. Data on the labor market for the last two months, in fact, has been rather positive, but at the same time, data in the real estate sector absolutely disappointed investors. So, the figures from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) showed that the trust level among builders significantly worsened in February to a level of 46 points, in comparison with 56 points last month.
The situation in the commodities market remains the same. Brent this morning adds 0.09% and is traded on a level of 109.95$ per barrel. WTI is increasing by 0.18% and is bargaining next to the level of 102.38$ per barrel. Gold and silver are increasing by 0.58% and 0.32% accordingly, traded on levels of 1331.22$ and 21.85$ per troy ounce.
- See more at: https://www.mayzus.com/en/market-reviews/neutral-dynamics-remain-in-the-markets.html#sthash.xx7bIS5m.dpufAt the same time, the situation in the American market was not so positive, and indices closed the week with a small decrease. The Dow Jones lost 0.24%, finishing on the level of 16103.30 points. The S&P 500 fell by 0.08% traded on a level of 1836.25 points, and the Nasdaq managed to keep in a symbolical plus by 0.09%, reaching the level of 4263.41 points.
Macroeconomic statistical data published on Friday was quite different. Data on the labor market for the last two months, in fact, has been rather positive, but at the same time, data in the real estate sector absolutely disappointed investors. So, the figures from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) showed that the trust level among builders significantly worsened in February to a level of 46 points, in comparison with 56 points last month.
The situation in the commodities market remains the same. Brent this morning adds 0.09% and is traded on a level of 109.95$ per barrel. WTI is increasing by 0.18% and is bargaining next to the level of 102.38$ per barrel. Gold and silver are increasing by 0.58% and 0.32% accordingly, traded on levels of 1331.22$ and 21.85$ per troy ounce.
2014/02/21
Markets Are Consolidating At The Levels Reached
We have seen rather positive reports from the Eurozone and different European countries during the last few weeks, but data which was presented yesterday was disappointing. PMI of the Eurozone in the services sector made 51.7 points against the forecasted 51.9 points, and the index in the manufacturing industry decreased from 54.2 points to 53.
This had an immediate effect on the positions of the EUR/USD, which, from the maximum level of 1.3762, rolled down to the area of 1.3690, and this morning is traded around 1.37. Indices in the meantime, finished the trading session with an increase. The index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.2%, the French CAC 40 became 0.3% heavier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.4%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by less than 0.1% and was closed on a level of 334.78 points.
The American stock market again managed to find reasons for growth, finishing yesterday’s trading session with a moderate increase. This was mainly due to some positive statistics and corporate events. According to preliminary data of PMI from Markit Economics, the American industry grew in February, and the index raised to 56.7 from the 53.7 last month, and on the labor market, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits decreased to 336 thousand, from 339 thousand.
Additionally, support was brought by the news from the corporate segment, where Facebook announced it's purchase of the messenger 'WhatsApp' for 19 billion dollars. In comparison, some time ago Facebook bought Instagram for just 1 billion dollars, so this time the company paid an extreme amount money, and obviously must have some really serious reasons for that!
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0.58% to the level of 16133,23 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 added 0.60% reaching the level of 1839.78 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, grew by 0.70% to the level of 4267.55 points.
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This had an immediate effect on the positions of the EUR/USD, which, from the maximum level of 1.3762, rolled down to the area of 1.3690, and this morning is traded around 1.37. Indices in the meantime, finished the trading session with an increase. The index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.2%, the French CAC 40 became 0.3% heavier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.4%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by less than 0.1% and was closed on a level of 334.78 points.
The American stock market again managed to find reasons for growth, finishing yesterday’s trading session with a moderate increase. This was mainly due to some positive statistics and corporate events. According to preliminary data of PMI from Markit Economics, the American industry grew in February, and the index raised to 56.7 from the 53.7 last month, and on the labor market, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits decreased to 336 thousand, from 339 thousand.
Additionally, support was brought by the news from the corporate segment, where Facebook announced it's purchase of the messenger 'WhatsApp' for 19 billion dollars. In comparison, some time ago Facebook bought Instagram for just 1 billion dollars, so this time the company paid an extreme amount money, and obviously must have some really serious reasons for that!
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0.58% to the level of 16133,23 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 added 0.60% reaching the level of 1839.78 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, grew by 0.70% to the level of 4267.55 points.
****
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2014/02/20
Markets Seem To Be Unable To Decide On The Direction
Yesterday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate decrease. The American indices were not strong enough to beat historical maximum levels, even though a day earlier the S&P 500 stopped literally 1 point from the record.
Another disappointing factor was the macroeconomic statistical data published yesterday. The number of new constructions of houses in January, from the reconsidered 1.048 million, unexpectedly dropped to 0.88 million, and in general, all the published data in relation to new constructions has been rather weak. It should be noted that for the last few weeks in the US, almost every presented report has been rather disappointing, but mostly it was written off for weather, or in general was ignored by the market.
Also yesterday, investors finally got the chance to see the minutes of the last meeting of the FED, where it was stated that members of the committee on the open markets consider that the program of quantitative mitigation could be continued to be deducted, in the situation the committee will not begin to see any notable changes. In general, the minutes did not bring anything unexpected or new.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went down by 0.56% to the level of 16040.56 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 decreased by 0.65% to the level of 1828.75 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by 0.82% and reached the level of 4237.95 points.
Commodities this morning are slightly down, but the situation remains stable. WTI managed to increase in price yesterday by 0.9%, to the level of 103.31$ per barrel but this morning has fallen slightly, bargaining next to the level of 102.61$ per barrel. Gold and silver are losing 0.53% and 1.33% accordingly, traded on levels of 1313.42$ and 21.56$ per troy ounce.
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Another disappointing factor was the macroeconomic statistical data published yesterday. The number of new constructions of houses in January, from the reconsidered 1.048 million, unexpectedly dropped to 0.88 million, and in general, all the published data in relation to new constructions has been rather weak. It should be noted that for the last few weeks in the US, almost every presented report has been rather disappointing, but mostly it was written off for weather, or in general was ignored by the market.
Also yesterday, investors finally got the chance to see the minutes of the last meeting of the FED, where it was stated that members of the committee on the open markets consider that the program of quantitative mitigation could be continued to be deducted, in the situation the committee will not begin to see any notable changes. In general, the minutes did not bring anything unexpected or new.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went down by 0.56% to the level of 16040.56 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 decreased by 0.65% to the level of 1828.75 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by 0.82% and reached the level of 4237.95 points.
Commodities this morning are slightly down, but the situation remains stable. WTI managed to increase in price yesterday by 0.9%, to the level of 103.31$ per barrel but this morning has fallen slightly, bargaining next to the level of 102.61$ per barrel. Gold and silver are losing 0.53% and 1.33% accordingly, traded on levels of 1313.42$ and 21.56$ per troy ounce.
****
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2014/02/19
The Situation In The Markets Looks Very Shaky
As expected, the trading session on Tuesday was very volatile. Additionally, presented macroeconomic data shook the optimism in the markets.
European stock platforms finished the trading session without significant change. Attention should be paid to the fact that the index of economic expectations in the business environment in Germany, counted by ZEW institute, decreased from 61.7 to 55.7 points in February. In the meantime, the assessment of the current situation was better than the forecasts at 50.0 points, having declared a maximum level since the 3rd quarter of 2011.
Following the results of the trading session, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.9%, French CAC 40 lost 0.1%, and German DAX grew by 0.03%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.01%, having closed on a level of 334.6 points.
In the USA, the macroeconomic statistics were again quite weak, the index of production activity in New York in February decreased further than expectations, from 12.5 to 4.5 points. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index lost 0.15%, and reached the level of 16130.40 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq were slightly better. S&P 500 increased by 0.12% reaching the level of 1840.76 points, and Nasdaq Composite added 0.68% traded on a level of 4272.78.
Oil prices are staying up, with Brent on 110.20$ per barrel, losing just 0.23%. WTI is still strong, reaching the level of 102.14$ per barrel and adding just 0.04% this morning. Gold and silver are down by 0.48% and 0.77% accordingly, traded on a level of 1318.11$ and 21.73$ per troy ounce.
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European stock platforms finished the trading session without significant change. Attention should be paid to the fact that the index of economic expectations in the business environment in Germany, counted by ZEW institute, decreased from 61.7 to 55.7 points in February. In the meantime, the assessment of the current situation was better than the forecasts at 50.0 points, having declared a maximum level since the 3rd quarter of 2011.
Following the results of the trading session, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.9%, French CAC 40 lost 0.1%, and German DAX grew by 0.03%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.01%, having closed on a level of 334.6 points.
In the USA, the macroeconomic statistics were again quite weak, the index of production activity in New York in February decreased further than expectations, from 12.5 to 4.5 points. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index lost 0.15%, and reached the level of 16130.40 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq were slightly better. S&P 500 increased by 0.12% reaching the level of 1840.76 points, and Nasdaq Composite added 0.68% traded on a level of 4272.78.
Oil prices are staying up, with Brent on 110.20$ per barrel, losing just 0.23%. WTI is still strong, reaching the level of 102.14$ per barrel and adding just 0.04% this morning. Gold and silver are down by 0.48% and 0.77% accordingly, traded on a level of 1318.11$ and 21.73$ per troy ounce.
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2014/02/18
News From Japan Is Boosting The Market
The First trading day of the week was affected by lowered activity on the stock platforms due to the bank holiday in the United States.
This morning, interesting news came from the Bank of Japan, reporting its intention to continue soft monetary policy until the time the rate of inflation will reach 2%. The regulator plans to continue an annual increase in monetary base in the range of 60 trillion to 70 trillion yen. This decision was made unanimously and coincided with average forecasts of analysts. In addition, the Bank of Japan confirmed the volume of repayment of state bonds on the level of 50 trillion yen a year. It should also be noted that the central bank of the country also made the decision to prolong three programs of crediting for a year, which were expiring in March.
This news immediately had an effect on the Japanese yen and Japanese stock market. The Japanese yen fell sharply in price against the dollar, and is traded this morning on a level of 102.59. The weakening yen pushed up prices of the Japanese companies focused on export, and as a result, the Nikkei grew by 3.18%.
The situation in the commodities market remains the same, Brent is losing around 0.10% and is traded on the level of 109.07$ per barrel. WTI is slightly better, growing by 0.22% on the level of 100.35$ per barrel. Gold is stable and is losing just 0.02%, traded on a level of 1318.30$ per troy ounce. Silver remains strong at the price of 21.56$ and adds 0.65%.
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This morning, interesting news came from the Bank of Japan, reporting its intention to continue soft monetary policy until the time the rate of inflation will reach 2%. The regulator plans to continue an annual increase in monetary base in the range of 60 trillion to 70 trillion yen. This decision was made unanimously and coincided with average forecasts of analysts. In addition, the Bank of Japan confirmed the volume of repayment of state bonds on the level of 50 trillion yen a year. It should also be noted that the central bank of the country also made the decision to prolong three programs of crediting for a year, which were expiring in March.
This news immediately had an effect on the Japanese yen and Japanese stock market. The Japanese yen fell sharply in price against the dollar, and is traded this morning on a level of 102.59. The weakening yen pushed up prices of the Japanese companies focused on export, and as a result, the Nikkei grew by 3.18%.
The situation in the commodities market remains the same, Brent is losing around 0.10% and is traded on the level of 109.07$ per barrel. WTI is slightly better, growing by 0.22% on the level of 100.35$ per barrel. Gold is stable and is losing just 0.02%, traded on a level of 1318.30$ per troy ounce. Silver remains strong at the price of 21.56$ and adds 0.65%.
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2014/02/17
Statistics Support The Markets
The last trading day of the previous week was rather full with publications of macroeconomic statistical data, which had an influence on developments in the markets, and increased volatility. Analysts were predicting an increase of the industrial production in January by 0.2%, but actual numbers were reduced by up to 0.3%, which is the maximum value since April, 2013. Even more disappointing was data from the manufacturing industry, who's volume of production decreased in January by 0.8%, which is the greatest fall since May, 2009. Analysts were predicting an increase of 0.1%.
In spite of the fact that in the process of the publication of various reports, indices were moving up and down, they managed to close the trading session in positive territory. Dow Jones industrial average Index raised by 0.79% up to 16154.39 points, the Standard & Poor's 500 index raised by 0.48%, having closed at the level of 1838.63 points, and the Nasdaq Composite index raised by 0.08% to the value of 4244.03 points.
As for the commodities platforms, gold continues to grow due to the weaker dollar, increasing by 0.53% and bargaining next to the level of 1325.56$ per troy ounce. Silver is also up, adding 1.53% and bargaining next to the level of 21.75$.
Prices of oil are also stable and are developing in a positive direction. An interesting fact to pay attention to is that spread between Brent and WTI is decreasing, and WTI managed to go through the level of 100.00$ per barrel. This morning, Brent is traded on a level of 109.10$ per barrel, and is adding just 0.02%, while WTI is up by 0.42% and is traded on a level of 100.55$ per barrel.
****
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In spite of the fact that in the process of the publication of various reports, indices were moving up and down, they managed to close the trading session in positive territory. Dow Jones industrial average Index raised by 0.79% up to 16154.39 points, the Standard & Poor's 500 index raised by 0.48%, having closed at the level of 1838.63 points, and the Nasdaq Composite index raised by 0.08% to the value of 4244.03 points.
As for the commodities platforms, gold continues to grow due to the weaker dollar, increasing by 0.53% and bargaining next to the level of 1325.56$ per troy ounce. Silver is also up, adding 1.53% and bargaining next to the level of 21.75$.
Prices of oil are also stable and are developing in a positive direction. An interesting fact to pay attention to is that spread between Brent and WTI is decreasing, and WTI managed to go through the level of 100.00$ per barrel. This morning, Brent is traded on a level of 109.10$ per barrel, and is adding just 0.02%, while WTI is up by 0.42% and is traded on a level of 100.55$ per barrel.
****
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2014/02/14
Markets Are Consolidating At The Levels Reached
On Thursday, indices of the United States managed to finish the trading session on a positive note, and closed the day with a moderate increase. Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, raised by 0.40% to the level of 16027.59 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0.58% to the level of 1829.83 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to plus on 0.94% reaching the level of 4240.67 points.
As for the statistics published yesterday, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits contrary to expectations, increased from 331 thousand to 339 thousand, and at the same time, retails in January were reduced by 0.4%, though zero change was expected. At the same time, December retails were reconsidered towards a fall from 0.2% to minus 0.1%, and production stocks in the last month of 2013 accelerated growth rate to 0.5%, reflecting activity which wasn't too high of retailers and consumers.
In the meantime, the Asian markets are traded ambiguously this morning . The Chinese market received incentive in the form of inflation at the level of 2.5% in January, and also because of the price index of the producers, which has fallen during this period by 1.6%. Japanese Nikkei 225 increases by 2.17%, Shanghai Composite is adding 0.83%, Futsee-100 loses 0.24%.
The situation in the commodities market remains stable and is developing positively. Prices of gold managed to go over the level of 1300.00$ per troy ounce, and are adding 0.63% this morning, traded on a level of 1308.24$. Silver jumped by 2.07% reaching a price of 20.82$ per troy ounce. Prices of oil are stable, with Brent traded on a price of 108.45$ per barrel and losing just 0.07%. WTI is down by 0.21% traded on a level of 99.84$ per barrel.
This morning data on gross domestic product of Germany for the 4th quarter of 2013 has been published, which made 0.4% against the expected 0.3%.
****
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As for the statistics published yesterday, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits contrary to expectations, increased from 331 thousand to 339 thousand, and at the same time, retails in January were reduced by 0.4%, though zero change was expected. At the same time, December retails were reconsidered towards a fall from 0.2% to minus 0.1%, and production stocks in the last month of 2013 accelerated growth rate to 0.5%, reflecting activity which wasn't too high of retailers and consumers.
In the meantime, the Asian markets are traded ambiguously this morning . The Chinese market received incentive in the form of inflation at the level of 2.5% in January, and also because of the price index of the producers, which has fallen during this period by 1.6%. Japanese Nikkei 225 increases by 2.17%, Shanghai Composite is adding 0.83%, Futsee-100 loses 0.24%.
The situation in the commodities market remains stable and is developing positively. Prices of gold managed to go over the level of 1300.00$ per troy ounce, and are adding 0.63% this morning, traded on a level of 1308.24$. Silver jumped by 2.07% reaching a price of 20.82$ per troy ounce. Prices of oil are stable, with Brent traded on a price of 108.45$ per barrel and losing just 0.07%. WTI is down by 0.21% traded on a level of 99.84$ per barrel.
This morning data on gross domestic product of Germany for the 4th quarter of 2013 has been published, which made 0.4% against the expected 0.3%.
****
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On
Thursday, indices of the United States managed to finish the trading
session on a positive note, and closed the day with a moderate increase.
Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue
chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, raised by 0.40% to the level of
16027.59 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's
500, increased by 0.58% to the level of 1829.83 points, and the index of
high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to plus on 0.94% reaching
the level of 4240.67 points.
As for the statistics published yesterday, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits contrary to expectations, increased from 331 thousand to 339 thousand, and at the same time, retails in January were reduced by 0.4%, though zero change was expected. At the same time, December retails were reconsidered towards a fall from 0.2% to minus 0.1%, and production stocks in the last month of 2013 accelerated growth rate to 0.5%, reflecting activity which wasn't too high of retailers and consumers.
In the meantime, the Asian markets are traded ambiguously this morning . The Chinese market received incentive in the form of inflation at the level of 2.5% in January, and also because of the price index of the producers, which has fallen during this period by 1.6%. Japanese Nikkei 225 increases by 2.17%, Shanghai Composite is adding 0.83%, Futsee-100 loses 0.24%.
The situation in the commodities market remains stable and is developing positively. Prices of gold managed to go over the level of 1300.00$ per troy ounce, and are adding 0.63% this morning, traded on a level of 1308.24$. Silver jumped by 2.07% reaching a price of 20.82$ per troy ounce. Prices of oil are stable, with Brent traded on a price of 108.45$ per barrel and losing just 0.07%. WTI is down by 0.21% traded on a level of 99.84$ per barrel.
This morning data on gross domestic product of Germany for the 4th quarter of 2013 has been published, which made 0.4% against the expected 0.3%. - See more at: https://www.mayzus.com/en/market-reviews/markets-are-consolidating-at-the-levels-reached.html#sthash.CaJ2gNK8.dpu
As for the statistics published yesterday, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits contrary to expectations, increased from 331 thousand to 339 thousand, and at the same time, retails in January were reduced by 0.4%, though zero change was expected. At the same time, December retails were reconsidered towards a fall from 0.2% to minus 0.1%, and production stocks in the last month of 2013 accelerated growth rate to 0.5%, reflecting activity which wasn't too high of retailers and consumers.
In the meantime, the Asian markets are traded ambiguously this morning . The Chinese market received incentive in the form of inflation at the level of 2.5% in January, and also because of the price index of the producers, which has fallen during this period by 1.6%. Japanese Nikkei 225 increases by 2.17%, Shanghai Composite is adding 0.83%, Futsee-100 loses 0.24%.
The situation in the commodities market remains stable and is developing positively. Prices of gold managed to go over the level of 1300.00$ per troy ounce, and are adding 0.63% this morning, traded on a level of 1308.24$. Silver jumped by 2.07% reaching a price of 20.82$ per troy ounce. Prices of oil are stable, with Brent traded on a price of 108.45$ per barrel and losing just 0.07%. WTI is down by 0.21% traded on a level of 99.84$ per barrel.
This morning data on gross domestic product of Germany for the 4th quarter of 2013 has been published, which made 0.4% against the expected 0.3%. - See more at: https://www.mayzus.com/en/market-reviews/markets-are-consolidating-at-the-levels-reached.html#sthash.CaJ2gNK8.dpu
2014/02/13
Positive News From China Had Only A Short-Term Influence On The Markets
Yesterday, the trading session in the United States started on a positive note, but by the end of the day, indices could not keep growing, and were closed in the red zone. Optimism was brought by the published macroeconomic statistical data in China, where export volumes grew in January by 10.6%, whereas analysts expected indicator increase of only 2.0%.
Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, lost 0.19% and was closed on a level of 15963.94 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 went to a minus by 0.03% to the level of 1819.26 points, and only the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 0.24% to a level of 4201.29 points.
The situation in the commodities market remains stable, and slowly develops in a positive direction. Yesterday, the price of WTI managed to go over 100.00$ per barrel, and increased by 0.4% to the level of 100.37$ for barrel. This morning, WTI is losing 0.73%, traded on a level of 99.18$ per barrel. Brent is feeling slightly better, traded on a level of 107.84$ per barrel, and losing 0.47%.
The price of gold also managed to increase by 0.4%, reaching the level of 1295.00$ per troy ounce, but could not go over the level of 1300.00$, and rebounded from that, and is losing 0.32% this morning, bargaining next to the 1290.91$ per troy ounce. Silver is losing 0.72% at 20.19$ per troy ounce.
****
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2014/02/12
The Positive Background Supports The Markets
The American stock market continues to get positive impulses, which helps it to recover from the losses obtained in the beginning of February. Yesterday, for the first time in her career, Janet Yellen gave a speech in front of the Congress of the USA as the new head of FED. Yellen confirmed that she is going to continue to stick to the plans of Bernanke, and the volume of the program of purchase of assets will be gradually reduced. At the same time, interest rates will not change, even if the unemployment rate is going to reduce below the threshold value of 6.5%.
Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, increased by 1.22% to the level of 15994.77 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 added 1.11% in value, reaching the level of 1819.75 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, grew by 1.03% to a level of 4191.04 points.
Morning news coming from China also brought positive moods to the markets. Accordingly to the published macroeconomic statistical data, export in January increased by 10.6% which was 0.1% higher than forecasts, and import grew by 10%, which allowed China to expand surplus of trade balance. These are very important figures, which, in the short-term prospect, could have an influence on the situation in the emerging markets.
The situation in the commodities market remains to be stable, and is developing in a positive direction. Prices of oil are increasing by 0.03% on Brent, and 0.47% on WTI, traded on 108.21$ and 99.91$ accordingly. Gold and silver are slightly losing, 0.19% and 0.01%, bargaining next to the levels of 1287.41$ and 20.15$ per troy ounce.
****
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Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, increased by 1.22% to the level of 15994.77 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 added 1.11% in value, reaching the level of 1819.75 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, grew by 1.03% to a level of 4191.04 points.
Morning news coming from China also brought positive moods to the markets. Accordingly to the published macroeconomic statistical data, export in January increased by 10.6% which was 0.1% higher than forecasts, and import grew by 10%, which allowed China to expand surplus of trade balance. These are very important figures, which, in the short-term prospect, could have an influence on the situation in the emerging markets.
The situation in the commodities market remains to be stable, and is developing in a positive direction. Prices of oil are increasing by 0.03% on Brent, and 0.47% on WTI, traded on 108.21$ and 99.91$ accordingly. Gold and silver are slightly losing, 0.19% and 0.01%, bargaining next to the levels of 1287.41$ and 20.15$ per troy ounce.
****
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2014/02/11
Everybody Is Waiting For Janet Yellen's Speech
A positive atmosphere remains in the market for the second day in a row. Investors are still continuing to build their expectations based on statistics on the labor market of the US, which were published on Friday. Weak data from the labor market gives hope to the participants of the markets that the FED could stop further reduction of the program of repayment of assets for the time being, and will wait until the situation starts to improve again.
Janet Yellen is going to give two speeches this week, one of them is going to be today, which is quite an important point, as we are going to hear the opinion of the new head of FED for the first time, on the current situation in the country. Hopefully, she is going to give some indicates in relation to the further plans of the FED.
Yesterday, American indices managed to finish the trading session in the green zone without any significant increase. The Dow Jones added 0.05% reaching a level of 15801.79 points, Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.54% to the level of 4148.17 points and the S&P 500 index grew by 0.16% reaching the level of 1799.84 points.
In the meantime in the Eurozone, the investor confidence index of Sentix for February was published, which made 13.3 points at average expectations of 10.7 points. As a result, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.3%, the French CAC 40 added 0.2%, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.1%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, added less than 0.1% and was closed on the level of 325.3 points.
One more interesting fact is that gold reached the maximum level since November, 2013. Basically, this was due to the expectations of turning of the program of quantitative easing in the U.S., and the renewal of purchases from China. This morning, gold continues its growth and adds 0.66% traded on a level of 1283.08$ per troy ounce.
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Janet Yellen is going to give two speeches this week, one of them is going to be today, which is quite an important point, as we are going to hear the opinion of the new head of FED for the first time, on the current situation in the country. Hopefully, she is going to give some indicates in relation to the further plans of the FED.
Yesterday, American indices managed to finish the trading session in the green zone without any significant increase. The Dow Jones added 0.05% reaching a level of 15801.79 points, Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.54% to the level of 4148.17 points and the S&P 500 index grew by 0.16% reaching the level of 1799.84 points.
In the meantime in the Eurozone, the investor confidence index of Sentix for February was published, which made 13.3 points at average expectations of 10.7 points. As a result, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.3%, the French CAC 40 added 0.2%, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.1%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, added less than 0.1% and was closed on the level of 325.3 points.
One more interesting fact is that gold reached the maximum level since November, 2013. Basically, this was due to the expectations of turning of the program of quantitative easing in the U.S., and the renewal of purchases from China. This morning, gold continues its growth and adds 0.66% traded on a level of 1283.08$ per troy ounce.
****
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2014/02/10
The Labor Market Of The USA Was The Main Source Of A Positive In The Markets
On Friday, investors concentrated their attention on the publication of macroeconomic statistical data. Statistics on the labor market of the USA were weaker than predictions of analysts. Frosts again became the main reason why the quantity of created workplaces appeared below market forecasts. This time, around 262 thousand people could not come to work because of cold weather, which coincided with the figure recorded in December.
The Non-farm payrolls indicator made 113 thousand whereas 185 thousand were expected. The average hourly salary increased by 0.2%%, having coincided with market expectations, and the average duration of the working week remained invariable at a rate of 34.4 hours. Among the positive data, it should be noted that the unemployment rate decreased from 6.7%% to 6.6%%.
As a result, the index of the wide market S&P 500 increased by 1.33%% and finished the week on the level of 1786.58 points, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, grew by 0.5%% to the level of 15705.84 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, added 1.69%% reaching a value of 4105.38 points.
Oil managed to increase in price due to the retreat of the dollar, and the remaining positive dynamics of the decrease in the unemployment rate in the USA. Brent this morning is traded on a level of 108.46$ per barrel, increasing by 0.36%% and WTI is losing 0.16%% traded on a level of 99.19$ per barrel.
Today we expect a rather quiet trading session, as there are not many important economic reports expected during the day. One of the most important events this week is going to be the press-conference of the new head of the FED, Janet Yellen. Undoubtedly, she will be asked questions concerning the plans of the FED in relation to the target levels of the labor market. Besides that, the publication of the report on retails is another important event of the current week.
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The Non-farm payrolls indicator made 113 thousand whereas 185 thousand were expected. The average hourly salary increased by 0.2%%, having coincided with market expectations, and the average duration of the working week remained invariable at a rate of 34.4 hours. Among the positive data, it should be noted that the unemployment rate decreased from 6.7%% to 6.6%%.
As a result, the index of the wide market S&P 500 increased by 1.33%% and finished the week on the level of 1786.58 points, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, grew by 0.5%% to the level of 15705.84 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, added 1.69%% reaching a value of 4105.38 points.
Oil managed to increase in price due to the retreat of the dollar, and the remaining positive dynamics of the decrease in the unemployment rate in the USA. Brent this morning is traded on a level of 108.46$ per barrel, increasing by 0.36%% and WTI is losing 0.16%% traded on a level of 99.19$ per barrel.
Today we expect a rather quiet trading session, as there are not many important economic reports expected during the day. One of the most important events this week is going to be the press-conference of the new head of the FED, Janet Yellen. Undoubtedly, she will be asked questions concerning the plans of the FED in relation to the target levels of the labor market. Besides that, the publication of the report on retails is another important event of the current week.
****
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2014/02/07
ECB Keeps Its Soft Stimulation Of The Economy
This morning, positive external background remains in the markets. Among the main factors pushing indices to move up, is the preservation of soft stimulating policy in the Eurozone and expectation of data on the level of Private Non-farm Payrolls and unemployment rate in the USA for December, which will be published in the second part of the day.
Yesterday, the European Central Bank declared preservation of the interest rate at the former level of 0.25%. At a traditional press conference, the president of ECB, Mario Dragi, confirmed that the bank will start to take measures only if forecasts on inflation will start to become worse, and turbulence of the currency market will increase. Inflation in the Eurozone was unexpectedly slowed down to 0.7% per annum following the results of December, which became its lowest value since 2009.
Published macroeconomic data in the U. S. yesterday was also rather positive, primary jobless claims made 331 thousand when what was expected was 335 thousands, decreasing by 20 thousand from last month. Non-farm Productivity made 3.2%, 2.5% was expected.
This helped American indices to close the trading session in a green zone. The Dow Jones industrial average index increased by 1.22% reaching the level of 15628.53, S&P 500 increased by 1.24% to the level of 1773.43 points, and Nasdaq Composite added 1.14% in value, finishing the trading session on a level of 4057.12 points.
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Yesterday, the European Central Bank declared preservation of the interest rate at the former level of 0.25%. At a traditional press conference, the president of ECB, Mario Dragi, confirmed that the bank will start to take measures only if forecasts on inflation will start to become worse, and turbulence of the currency market will increase. Inflation in the Eurozone was unexpectedly slowed down to 0.7% per annum following the results of December, which became its lowest value since 2009.
Published macroeconomic data in the U. S. yesterday was also rather positive, primary jobless claims made 331 thousand when what was expected was 335 thousands, decreasing by 20 thousand from last month. Non-farm Productivity made 3.2%, 2.5% was expected.
This helped American indices to close the trading session in a green zone. The Dow Jones industrial average index increased by 1.22% reaching the level of 15628.53, S&P 500 increased by 1.24% to the level of 1773.43 points, and Nasdaq Composite added 1.14% in value, finishing the trading session on a level of 4057.12 points.
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2014/02/05
The Situation In The Stock Markets Is Stabilizing
Yesterday, participants of the markets finally calmed down, which helped indices to recover slightly from the falls of the last few days. Optimism was brought by macroeconomic statistical data which pleased investors. According to the published data, orders in the manufacturing industry were reduced in December by 1.5%%, while analysts expected the fall of the indicator to be 1.7%%.
Investors attention was also directed towards speeches from the representatives of the FED. In particular, the head of the FED of Richmond, Jeffrey Leker, noted that the American economy will continue its development, with a very slow rate, however, this will not affect decisions of the FED to continue to reduce the program. Accordingly to his estimates, gross domestic product of the country will grow in 2014 by 2%%, and the rate of inflation in the next 1-2 years will reach the target level of 2%%. At the same time, the head of the FED of Chicago, Charles Evans, declared that an increase of interest rate could be possible, but only in the long-term, and monetary policy will remain to be soft until the FED is sure that all necessary measures have been taken for achievement of maximum employment and price stability.
Following the results of the session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index rose by 0.47%% and was closed on a level of 15445.24 points. The index of the wide market S&P 500 went to plus by 0.76%% to the level of 1755.2 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 0.87%%, to a level of 4031.52 points.
Asian stock markets are recovering after a strong fall yesterday. The Japanese Nikkei adds 1.23%%, the Korean KOSPI also grows. China is still celebrating New Year in the country. The Australian ASX200 and the Indian BSE Sensex are decreasing.
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Investors attention was also directed towards speeches from the representatives of the FED. In particular, the head of the FED of Richmond, Jeffrey Leker, noted that the American economy will continue its development, with a very slow rate, however, this will not affect decisions of the FED to continue to reduce the program. Accordingly to his estimates, gross domestic product of the country will grow in 2014 by 2%%, and the rate of inflation in the next 1-2 years will reach the target level of 2%%. At the same time, the head of the FED of Chicago, Charles Evans, declared that an increase of interest rate could be possible, but only in the long-term, and monetary policy will remain to be soft until the FED is sure that all necessary measures have been taken for achievement of maximum employment and price stability.
Following the results of the session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index rose by 0.47%% and was closed on a level of 15445.24 points. The index of the wide market S&P 500 went to plus by 0.76%% to the level of 1755.2 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 0.87%%, to a level of 4031.52 points.
Asian stock markets are recovering after a strong fall yesterday. The Japanese Nikkei adds 1.23%%, the Korean KOSPI also grows. China is still celebrating New Year in the country. The Australian ASX200 and the Indian BSE Sensex are decreasing.
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2014/02/04
January Sales Continue On Stock Markets
On Monday, the main stock indices of Europe showed negative dynamics due to a heavy decrease in activity of the banking sector. From the macroeconomic statistics which were published yesterday, attention should be paid to indexes of business activity for January in the industries of Switzerland, Germany, Great Britain, and also as a whole the Eurozone. In the Eurozone, the indicator increased from 53.9 points to 54 points, in Switzerland from 55 points to 56.1 points, in Germany from 56.3 points to 56.5 points, and in Great Britain it decreased from 57.2 points to 56.7 points.
As a result, the index of Great Britain, the FTSE 100, went down by 0.7%, the French CAC 40 became 1.4% easier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 1.3%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased by 1.3% and was closed on a level of 318.21 points.
The situation in the American market also sharply weakened after the publication of an unexpectedly weak report on the industrial ISM index in the USA. In January, this indicator decreased from 56.5 points to 51.3 points, whilst analysts expected 56 points.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index decreased by 2.08% to the level of 15372.8 points. The S&P 500 lost 2.28% reaching a level of 1741.89 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell by 2.61% to the level of 3996.96 points.
Asian markets didn't have any other choice but to follow the negative European and American trading sessions. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index decreased by 2.3%, which is the strongest decrease in the past eight months. The Japanese Nikkei is losing 4.17% this morning , and Futsee-100 falls by 0.54%. Shanghai Composite also decreases by 0.82%.
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As a result, the index of Great Britain, the FTSE 100, went down by 0.7%, the French CAC 40 became 1.4% easier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 1.3%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased by 1.3% and was closed on a level of 318.21 points.
The situation in the American market also sharply weakened after the publication of an unexpectedly weak report on the industrial ISM index in the USA. In January, this indicator decreased from 56.5 points to 51.3 points, whilst analysts expected 56 points.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index decreased by 2.08% to the level of 15372.8 points. The S&P 500 lost 2.28% reaching a level of 1741.89 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell by 2.61% to the level of 3996.96 points.
Asian markets didn't have any other choice but to follow the negative European and American trading sessions. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index decreased by 2.3%, which is the strongest decrease in the past eight months. The Japanese Nikkei is losing 4.17% this morning , and Futsee-100 falls by 0.54%. Shanghai Composite also decreases by 0.82%.
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