2014/03/03

The Russian Market Is Captured By A Panic

The end of the 2013 and the beginning of 2014 can be characterized with the fact that the markets are trying to manage to cope with unforeseen situations and news from different corners of the earth. Markets just managed more or less to stabilize situation in the emerging markets of the developing countries, after FED made the decision to start cutting off the program of quantitative easing, then new problems are starting to fall upon the markets of the different countries.

The whole world watched more than a month a situation developing in Ukraine, which brought to weakening of the Ukrainian currency and destabilization of the financial situation of the country. There are opinions, that the country default, is almost inevitable. In addition to it the situation in Ukraine led to collapse in the Russian market, which strongly gave up on Friday and continued to decrease today at the opening of the trading session.

MICEX at this moment is losing 8,26%, traded on a level of the 1325,33 points; RTS is down for 9,59%, traded on a level of the 1146,13 points. All the stocks of the Russian companies are traded in minus, Gazprom is down for 11,39%, VTB bank is losing 11,79%, Sberbank decreasing for 8,70%. All the other companies are down for more than 5%. Russian ruble is very weak and in relation to EUR traded above 50 rubles. One of the Russian banks in the region of the Krasnoyarsk, Sibirskiy bank, has put a sell level of euro on a price of 60 rubles. At present in the market simply reigns the panic.

In turn, American indexes on Friday managed to close weak in a moderate plus. The Dow Jones industrial average index raised on 0,30% up to the level of 16321,71 points, the S&P 500 index raised on 0,28%, having closed at the level of 1859,45 points and just the Nasdaq Composite index decreased on 0,25% up to value of 4308,12 points.

Statistical data on GDP of the country disappointed the market and has made 2,4% at expected 2,5%. However, published then final index of consumer confidence of Michigan university which raised in February to 81,6 points from 81,2 points in January encouraged investors, having surpassed both consensus forecast of 81,3 points, and preliminary value of 81,2 points.

Asian stock markets are traded in a red zone and are losing around 1%, European stock markets also started trading session in a red zone, German DAX is losing 2,38%, French CAC40 decreasing for 0,76%.

The only positive development can be observed on the commodities market, where Brent and WTI are increasing for 1,41% and 1,25% traded on a price of 110,17$ and 103,16$ for barrel. Gold is increasing for 1,91% up to the level of 1346,91$ and silver is up for 1,73%, bargaining next to the level of 21,61$ for troy ounce.


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